Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.
Recorded match result
Result pending — kickoff has not passed.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 26 Oct 2026 17:38 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Sassuolo
LDWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Sassuolo scored 11 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Sassuolo 2–6 LazioSerie A · UTC
Sassuolo 1–1 AC MilanSerie A · UTC
Sassuolo 3–2 JuventusSerie A · UTC
Sassuolo 2–1 TorinoSerie A · UTC
Sassuolo 3–0 CesenaCoppa Italia · UTC
Away matches
Fiorentina
LLWLD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Fiorentina scored 8 and conceded 12 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Inter 2–1 FiorentinaSerie A · UTC
Genoa 2–1 FiorentinaSerie A · UTC
Venezia 2–4 FiorentinaSerie A · UTC
AS Roma 4–0 FiorentinaSerie A · UTC
Real Madrid 2–2 FiorentinaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Sassuolo
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.01 / 5.87
xG per match, for / against
1.00 / 1.96
Goals on this same sample
6 / 9
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Sassuolo vs LazioxG for / against Sassuolo: 0.80 / 3.59
Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 18:56 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 18:56 UTC.
Sassuolo vs AC MilanxG for / against Sassuolo: 1.19 / 1.18
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 17:55 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 17:55 UTC.
Sassuolo vs JuventusxG for / against Sassuolo: 1.02 / 1.10
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 08:29 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 08:29 UTC.
Away matches
Fiorentina
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.66 / 8.04
xG per match, for / against
1.17 / 2.01
Goals on this same sample
6 / 10
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Inter vs FiorentinaxG for / against Fiorentina: 0.24 / 3.15
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 08:04 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 08:04 UTC.
Genoa vs FiorentinaxG for / against Fiorentina: 0.82 / 1.46
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 02:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 02:15 UTC.
Venezia vs FiorentinaxG for / against Fiorentina: 3.35 / 0.71
Statistics synced: team 12 Sep 2026 00:19 UTC; opponent 12 Sep 2026 00:19 UTC.
AS Roma vs FiorentinaxG for / against Fiorentina: 0.25 / 2.72
Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Sassuolo
Reported absences
K. ThorstvedtMissing Fixture · Red Card
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
Y. PazMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
F. LeysenMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
D. BolocaMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
I. KoneMissing Fixture · Broken Leg
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Fiorentina
Reported absences
M. PongracicMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
R. SottilMissing Fixture · Back Injury
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
L. RanieriQuestionable · Leg Injury
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
F. ParisiMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
A. AttaMissing Fixture · Abdominal strain
Record synced 01 Nov 2026 12:54 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Sassuolo
6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Oct 2026 17:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 15
Points / played
8 / 9
Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 17:19 UTC.
Fiorentina
3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 29 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Serie A
Position 17
Points / played
5 / 9
Table source synced 01 Nov 2026 17:19 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Fiorentina 0–0 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
Sassuolo 3–1 FiorentinaSerie A · UTC
Fiorentina 5–1 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
Sassuolo 1–0 FiorentinaSerie A · UTC
Sassuolo 1–3 FiorentinaSerie A · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 01 Nov 2026 17:31 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.