Serie A · 07 Nov 2026

AS Roma vs SassuoloMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 31 Oct 2026 20:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

AS Roma

WWWLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
15 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

AS Roma scored 15 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. AS Roma 4–2 CagliariSerie A · UTC
  2. AS Roma 4–0 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League · UTC
  3. AS Roma 2–0 GenoaSerie A · UTC
  4. AS Roma 3–4 Real MadridUEFA Champions League · UTC
  5. AS Roma 2–2 InterSerie A · UTC

Away matches

Sassuolo

LLLDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Sassuolo scored 6 and conceded 12 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Como 2–0 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
  2. Frosinone 4–2 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
  3. Monza 2–1 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
  4. Bologna 2–2 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
  5. Atalanta 2–1 SassuoloSerie A · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

AS Roma

Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
10.63 / 7.54
xG per match, for / against
2.13 / 1.51
Goals on this same sample
15 / 8

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. AS Roma vs Cagliari xG for / against AS Roma: 2.96 / 2.68 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 22:25 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 22:25 UTC.
  2. AS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava xG for / against AS Roma: 3.19 / 0.04 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 21:56 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 21:56 UTC.
  3. AS Roma vs Genoa xG for / against AS Roma: 1.33 / 0.47 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 09:35 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 09:35 UTC.
  4. AS Roma vs Real Madrid xG for / against AS Roma: 1.49 / 1.49 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC.
  5. AS Roma vs Inter xG for / against AS Roma: 1.66 / 2.86 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 06:05 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 06:05 UTC.

Away matches

Sassuolo

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.42 / 6.33
xG per match, for / against
1.61 / 1.58
Goals on this same sample
4 / 10

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Como vs Sassuolo xG for / against Sassuolo: 0.33 / 2.07 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 05:25 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 05:25 UTC.
  2. Frosinone vs Sassuolo xG for / against Sassuolo: 1.92 / 2.08 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 21:20 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 21:20 UTC.
  3. Monza vs Sassuolo xG for / against Sassuolo: 1.47 / 1.51 Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 19:57 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 19:57 UTC.
  4. Atalanta vs Sassuolo xG for / against Sassuolo: 2.70 / 0.67 Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 20:52 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

AS Roma

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sassuolo

Reported absences

  • Fali CandéMissing Fixture · Jumpers Knee Record synced 06 Nov 2026 19:19 UTC.
  • Y. PazMissing Fixture · Jumpers Knee Record synced 06 Nov 2026 19:19 UTC.
  • D. BolocaMissing Fixture · Muscle Bruise Record synced 06 Nov 2026 19:19 UTC.
  • I. KonéMissing Fixture · Broken Leg Record synced 06 Nov 2026 19:19 UTC.
  • E. PieragnoloMissing Fixture · Jumpers Knee Record synced 06 Nov 2026 19:19 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

AS Roma

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Nov 2026 20:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 3
Points / played
24 / 10

Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 19:19 UTC.

Sassuolo

5.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 02 Nov 2026 17:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie A
Position 17
Points / played
8 / 10

Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 19:19 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. AS Roma 2–0 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
  2. Sassuolo 0–1 AS RomaSerie A · UTC
  3. AS Roma 1–0 SassuoloSerie A · UTC
  4. Sassuolo 1–2 AS RomaSerie A · UTC
  5. AS Roma 3–4 SassuoloSerie A · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 06 Nov 2026 19:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1550187
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
393ae681dc0b43cffddda7ee8bfc31e76572e2d0550f6bfd4458e8c4ed83b76a