First League · 17 Oct 2026

Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar SkopjeMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 17 Oct 2026 21:10 UTC. Source synced 17 Oct 2026 21:09 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Bregalnica Štip

WLWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
15 / 1
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
0/5 0%

Bregalnica Štip scored 15 and conceded 1 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 0 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Bregalnica Štip 1–0 SkopjeFirst League · UTC
  2. Bregalnica Štip 0–1 Shkëndija HaraçinëFirst League · UTC
  3. Bregalnica Štip 3–0 Bashkimi KumanovoFirst League · UTC
  4. Bregalnica Štip 4–0 AresimiFirst League · UTC
  5. Bregalnica Štip 7–0 PobedaSecond League · UTC

Away matches

Vardar Skopje

WDWDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Vardar Skopje scored 11 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Skopje 1–2 Vardar SkopjeFirst League · UTC
  2. Bashkimi Kumanovo 3–3 Vardar SkopjeFirst League · UTC
  3. Home team 0–5 Vardar SkopjeCup · UTC
  4. Tikveš 1–1 Vardar SkopjeFirst League · UTC
  5. Struga 1–0 Vardar SkopjeFirst League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Bregalnica Štip

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Vardar Skopje

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Bregalnica Štip

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Vardar Skopje

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Bregalnica Štip

7.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

First League
Position 7
Points / played
10 / 9

Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 00:22 UTC.

Vardar Skopje

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

First League
Position 3
Points / played
17 / 9

Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 00:22 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 01:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1551472
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
82fb343ed0bac4c604069124643b5154343728fdabe54e3d2162ab9dc1e971ba