Eerste Divisie · 23 Oct 2026

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21Match analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 00:11 UTC. Source synced 23 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

FC Eindhoven

LDWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

FC Eindhoven scored 8 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. FC Eindhoven 0–1 VitesseEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. FC Eindhoven 2–2 De GraafschapEerste Divisie · UTC
  3. FC Eindhoven 3–1 EmmenEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. FC Eindhoven 2–1 DordrechtEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. FC Eindhoven 1–3 HeraclesEerste Divisie · UTC

Away matches

Jong PSV U21

DLLDD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%

Jong PSV U21 scored 6 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Roda 1–1 Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie · UTC
  2. Vitesse 3–1 Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie · UTC
  3. Helmond Sport 3–1 Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie · UTC
  4. Waalwijk 2–2 Jong PSV U21Eerste Divisie · UTC
  5. Sunderland U21 1–1 Jong PSV U21Premier League International Cup · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

FC Eindhoven

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.65 / 2.07
xG per match, for / against
0.83 / 1.04
Goals on this same sample
1 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse xG for / against FC Eindhoven: 0.89 / 0.33 Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.
  2. FC Eindhoven vs Heracles xG for / against FC Eindhoven: 0.76 / 1.74 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 12:20 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 12:20 UTC.

Away matches

Jong PSV U21

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.33 / 2.64
xG per match, for / against
1.17 / 1.32
Goals on this same sample
3 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Roda vs Jong PSV U21 xG for / against Jong PSV U21: 1.33 / 1.60 Statistics synced: team 16 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC; opponent 16 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
  2. Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 xG for / against Jong PSV U21: 1.00 / 1.04 Statistics synced: team 28 Aug 2026 20:21 UTC; opponent 28 Aug 2026 20:21 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

FC Eindhoven

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Jong PSV U21

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

FC Eindhoven

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 16 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 15
Points / played
11 / 11

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 15
Points / played
11 / 10

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 14
Points / played
0 / 1

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 5
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 5
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Jong PSV U21

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 19 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 13
Points / played
13 / 11

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 12
Points / played
13 / 10

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 17
Points / played
0 / 1

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 17
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 17
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 23 Oct 2026 01:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1551850
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
f6155d138931295975ebcbd28847d704ffcead3777a9e1f87fd5111f466c7c38