Eerste Divisie · 24 Oct 2026

Dordrecht vs VVV VenloMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 2–4 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 18:31 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 18:29 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Dordrecht

LWLLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 13
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Dordrecht scored 8 and conceded 13 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Dordrecht 0–3 EmmenEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. Dordrecht 3–2 Almere City FCEerste Divisie · UTC
  3. Dordrecht 3–6 Jong AZEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. Dordrecht 0–1 RodaEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. Dordrecht 2–1 Jong AjaxEerste Divisie · UTC

Away matches

VVV Venlo

WLWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

VVV Venlo scored 12 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Jong Ajax 0–3 VVV VenloEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. FC Volendam 3–2 VVV VenloEerste Divisie · UTC
  3. Jong Utrecht 1–3 VVV VenloEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. Helmond Sport 4–2 VVV VenloEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. NAC Breda 0–2 VVV VenloEerste Divisie · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Dordrecht

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.72 / 6.38
xG per match, for / against
1.18 / 1.60
Goals on this same sample
5 / 7

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Dordrecht vs Emmen xG for / against Dordrecht: 1.05 / 1.25 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC.
  2. Dordrecht vs Almere City FC xG for / against Dordrecht: 0.91 / 1.85 Statistics synced: team 09 Oct 2026 20:45 UTC; opponent 09 Oct 2026 20:45 UTC.
  3. Dordrecht vs Roda xG for / against Dordrecht: 1.17 / 1.02 Statistics synced: team 22 Aug 2026 02:21 UTC; opponent 22 Aug 2026 02:21 UTC.
  4. Dordrecht vs Jong Ajax xG for / against Dordrecht: 1.59 / 2.26 Statistics synced: team 07 Aug 2026 20:18 UTC; opponent 07 Aug 2026 20:18 UTC.

Away matches

VVV Venlo

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.38 / 2.95
xG per match, for / against
1.69 / 1.48
Goals on this same sample
5 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo xG for / against VVV Venlo: 2.39 / 1.40 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC.
  2. NAC Breda vs VVV Venlo xG for / against VVV Venlo: 0.99 / 1.55 Statistics synced: team 14 Aug 2026 20:18 UTC; opponent 14 Aug 2026 20:18 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Dordrecht

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

VVV Venlo

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Dordrecht

4.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 19 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 17
Points / played
11 / 11

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 19
Points / played
8 / 10

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 9
Points / played
3 / 1

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 4
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 4
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

VVV Venlo

7.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 16 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 3
Points / played
22 / 11

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 3
Points / played
21 / 10

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 13
Points / played
1 / 1

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 2
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 2
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 04:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1551856
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
dd23e432e7b823282807aeb897e95771a11c341ab3c763da9b24f38f4218ac98