Eerste Divisie · 14 Nov 2026

De Graafschap vs FC OSSMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

De Graafschap

DWWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

De Graafschap scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. De Graafschap 1–1 WaalwijkEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. De Graafschap 2–1 Jong UtrechtEerste Divisie · UTC
  3. De Graafschap 1–0 Den BoschEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. De Graafschap 1–2 NAC BredaEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. De Graafschap 1–4 Almere City FCEerste Divisie · UTC

Away matches

FC OSS

LWLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

FC OSS scored 4 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Heracles 2–0 FC OSSEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. PEC Zwolle 1–2 FC OSSKNVB Beker · UTC
  3. Den Bosch 2–1 FC OSSEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. Emmen 1–0 FC OSSEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. VVV Venlo 3–1 FC OSSEerste Divisie · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

De Graafschap

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.80 / 5.27
xG per match, for / against
1.27 / 1.76
Goals on this same sample
4 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. De Graafschap vs Waalwijk xG for / against De Graafschap: 1.02 / 1.59 Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 18:55 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 18:55 UTC.
  2. De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht xG for / against De Graafschap: 1.59 / 1.61 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC.
  3. De Graafschap vs NAC Breda xG for / against De Graafschap: 1.19 / 2.07 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 03:14 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 03:14 UTC.

Away matches

FC OSS

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.57 / 5.48
xG per match, for / against
1.19 / 1.83
Goals on this same sample
3 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Heracles vs FC OSS xG for / against FC OSS: 0.50 / 2.67 Statistics synced: team 10 Nov 2026 22:55 UTC; opponent 10 Nov 2026 22:55 UTC.
  2. PEC Zwolle vs FC OSS xG for / against FC OSS: 0.78 / 1.24 Statistics synced: team 12 Nov 2026 04:36 UTC; opponent 12 Nov 2026 04:36 UTC.
  3. Den Bosch vs FC OSS xG for / against FC OSS: 2.29 / 1.57 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

De Graafschap

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

FC OSS

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

De Graafschap

15 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 15
Points / played
15 / 13

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 16
Points / played
11 / 10

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 10
Points / played
4 / 3

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 1
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 1
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

FC OSS

8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 06 Nov 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 16
Points / played
14 / 14

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 13
Points / played
12 / 10

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 19
Points / played
2 / 4

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 10
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 10
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 14 Nov 2026 03:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1551879
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
add6c6c0b39738da5f1c488259dfcc0fa303ed127ac6d94abcef968b302d6e43