Eerste Divisie · 15 Nov 2026

MVV vs VitesseMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

MVV

LLLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 14
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

MVV scored 4 and conceded 14 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. MVV 1–2 VVV VenloEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. MVV 0–3 ExcelsiorKNVB Beker · UTC
  3. MVV 1–5 HeraclesEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. MVV 2–0 Helmond SportEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. MVV 0–4 Almere City FCEerste Divisie · UTC

Away matches

Vitesse

DWWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
0/5 0%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Vitesse scored 4 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Jong Ajax 1–1 VitesseEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. VVV Venlo 0–2 VitesseKNVB Beker · UTC
  3. FC Eindhoven 0–1 VitesseEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. FC Volendam 2–0 VitesseEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. Heracles 2–0 VitesseEerste Divisie · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

MVV

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.77 / 5.41
xG per match, for / against
0.92 / 1.80
Goals on this same sample
2 / 10

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. MVV vs VVV Venlo xG for / against MVV: 1.21 / 0.94 Statistics synced: team 10 Nov 2026 04:14 UTC; opponent 10 Nov 2026 04:14 UTC.
  2. MVV vs Excelsior xG for / against MVV: 0.98 / 1.59 Statistics synced: team 12 Nov 2026 04:35 UTC; opponent 12 Nov 2026 04:35 UTC.
  3. MVV vs Heracles xG for / against MVV: 0.58 / 2.88 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 19:24 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 19:24 UTC.

Away matches

Vitesse

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.86 / 3.82
xG per match, for / against
1.21 / 0.96
Goals on this same sample
4 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Jong Ajax vs Vitesse xG for / against Vitesse: 0.72 / 0.90 Statistics synced: team 10 Nov 2026 22:55 UTC; opponent 10 Nov 2026 22:55 UTC.
  2. VVV Venlo vs Vitesse xG for / against Vitesse: 2.58 / 1.00 Statistics synced: team 12 Nov 2026 04:35 UTC; opponent 12 Nov 2026 04:35 UTC.
  3. FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse xG for / against Vitesse: 0.31 / 0.85 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC.
  4. FC Volendam vs Vitesse xG for / against Vitesse: 1.25 / 1.07 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

MVV

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Vitesse

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

MVV

6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 08 Nov 2026 15:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 8
Points / played
20 / 14

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 7
Points / played
16 / 10

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 16
Points / played
4 / 4

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 8
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 8
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Vitesse

12.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 02 Nov 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Eerste Divisie: Regular season
Position 11
Points / played
18 / 13

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 1
Position 10
Points / played
14 / 10

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
Position 12
Points / played
4 / 3

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 3
Position 15
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Eerste Divisie: Period 4
Position 15
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 01:19 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 15 Nov 2026 01:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1551884
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
3e2c138ae8439100d3a610adcaf3f6c43b2d4a41eb4738be63e286cda42b446f