Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–0· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 09 Oct 2026 20:50 UTC. Source synced 09 Oct 2026 20:49 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
PSV Eindhoven
WDWDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
PSV Eindhoven scored 12 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
PSV Eindhoven 4–1 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie · UTC
PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League · UTC
PSV Eindhoven 5–1 GroningenEredivisie · UTC
PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie · UTC
PSV Eindhoven 0–4 AZ AlkmaarSuper Cup · UTC
Away matches
Heerenveen
WDDWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Heerenveen scored 13 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 HeerenveenEredivisie · UTC
Willem II 2–2 HeerenveenEredivisie · UTC
Ajax 2–2 HeerenveenEredivisie · UTC
Club Brugge KV 2–3 HeerenveenFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Utrecht 3–2 HeerenveenEredivisie · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
PSV Eindhoven
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
6.05 / 3.30
xG per match, for / against
3.03 / 1.65
Goals on this same sample
6 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
PSV Eindhoven vs Sparta RotterdamxG for / against PSV Eindhoven: 3.75 / 2.29
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 08:10 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 08:10 UTC.
PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna SittardxG for / against PSV Eindhoven: 2.30 / 1.01
Statistics synced: team 09 Aug 2026 10:21 UTC; opponent 09 Aug 2026 10:21 UTC.
Away matches
Heerenveen
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.35 / 4.18
xG per match, for / against
1.45 / 1.39
Goals on this same sample
8 / 5
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Sparta Rotterdam vs HeerenveenxG for / against Heerenveen: 1.80 / 0.67
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC.
Ajax vs HeerenveenxG for / against Heerenveen: 1.33 / 1.74
Statistics synced: team 16 Aug 2026 16:52 UTC; opponent 16 Aug 2026 16:52 UTC.
Utrecht vs HeerenveenxG for / against Heerenveen: 1.22 / 1.77
Statistics synced: team 21 May 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 21 May 2026 21:13 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
PSV Eindhoven
Reported absences
A. PleaMissing Fixture · Surgery
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
S. LammersMissing Fixture · Lacking Match Fitness
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
L. GeertruidaMissing Fixture · Knock
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
J. SchoutenMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
R. PepiMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
K. SildilliaMissing Fixture · Surgery
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
A. NagaloMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
P. WannerQuestionable · Foot Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
S. OuaissaMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Heerenveen
Reported absences
D. ProperMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
M. HilgersMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
M. EgbringMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 09 Oct 2026 00:34 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
PSV Eindhoven
19.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 20 Sep 2026 12:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eredivisie
Position 3
Points / played
16 / 7
Table source synced 09 Oct 2026 00:14 UTC.
Heerenveen
20.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 19 Sep 2026 16:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eredivisie
Position 10
Points / played
9 / 7
Table source synced 09 Oct 2026 00:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 09 Oct 2026 01:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.