Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 0–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 11 Oct 2026 15:30 UTC. Source synced 11 Oct 2026 15:29 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
PEC Zwolle
LLLLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 17
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
PEC Zwolle scored 6 and conceded 17 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
PEC Zwolle 0–7 FeyenoordEredivisie · UTC
PEC Zwolle 1–3 NEC NijmegenEredivisie · UTC
PEC Zwolle 0–2 AjaxEredivisie · UTC
PEC Zwolle 2–3 AEK Athens FCFriendlies Clubs · UTC
PEC Zwolle 3–2 Cercle BruggeFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
Cambuur
DDLLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%
Cambuur scored 7 and conceded 12 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
ADO Den Haag 1–1 CambuurEredivisie · UTC
Telstar 2–2 CambuurEredivisie · UTC
Fortuna Sittard 3–1 CambuurEredivisie · UTC
Bologna 3–1 CambuurFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Excelsior 3–2 CambuurFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
PEC Zwolle
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.76 / 6.95
xG per match, for / against
0.92 / 2.32
Goals on this same sample
1 / 12
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
PEC Zwolle vs FeyenoordxG for / against PEC Zwolle: 0.19 / 3.40
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 06:20 UTC.
PEC Zwolle vs NEC NijmegenxG for / against PEC Zwolle: 1.98 / 2.01
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.
PEC Zwolle vs AjaxxG for / against PEC Zwolle: 0.59 / 1.54
Statistics synced: team 10 Aug 2026 12:19 UTC; opponent 10 Aug 2026 12:19 UTC.
Away matches
Cambuur
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.14 / 3.45
xG per match, for / against
1.57 / 1.73
Goals on this same sample
2 / 4
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
ADO Den Haag vs CambuurxG for / against Cambuur: 0.61 / 2.10
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 04:05 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 04:05 UTC.
Fortuna Sittard vs CambuurxG for / against Cambuur: 2.53 / 1.35
Statistics synced: team 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC; opponent 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
PEC Zwolle
Reported absences
R. ThomasQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
F. KrastevMissing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Y. NamliMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
I. CissokoQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Cambuur
Reported absences
N. BinderQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
W. AsselmanMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
D. VisserMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 11 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
PEC Zwolle
22.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 18 Sep 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eredivisie
Position 16
Points / played
4 / 7
Table source synced 11 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Cambuur
21.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 19 Sep 2026 14:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eredivisie
Position 14
Points / played
5 / 7
Table source synced 11 Oct 2026 01:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 11 Oct 2026 01:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.