Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 18:31 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 18:29 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Utrecht
WDLLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 15
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Utrecht scored 8 and conceded 15 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Utrecht 3–1 Willem IIEredivisie · UTC
Utrecht 3–3 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie · UTC
Utrecht 1–6 PSV EindhovenEredivisie · UTC
Utrecht 1–4 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie · UTC
Utrecht 0–1 SevillaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
PEC Zwolle
LDWLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
PEC Zwolle scored 5 and conceded 11 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Groningen 3–0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie · UTC
Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie · UTC
Heerenveen 0–2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie · UTC
Twente 3–1 PEC ZwolleEredivisie · UTC
Hannover 96 3–0 PEC ZwolleFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Utrecht
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.43 / 5.58
xG per match, for / against
0.81 / 1.86
Goals on this same sample
5 / 11
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Utrecht vs Willem IIxG for / against Utrecht: 1.30 / 0.61
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 11:05 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 11:05 UTC.
Utrecht vs PSV EindhovenxG for / against Utrecht: 0.30 / 3.04
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 12:20 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 12:20 UTC.
Utrecht vs AZ AlkmaarxG for / against Utrecht: 0.83 / 1.93
Statistics synced: team 16 Aug 2026 10:20 UTC; opponent 16 Aug 2026 10:20 UTC.
Away matches
PEC Zwolle
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
1.28 / 2.15
xG per match, for / against
0.64 / 1.08
Goals on this same sample
2 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Groningen vs PEC ZwollexG for / against PEC Zwolle: 0.43 / 1.39
Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 18:26 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 18:26 UTC.
Heerenveen vs PEC ZwollexG for / against PEC Zwolle: 0.85 / 0.76
Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 00:21 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 00:21 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Utrecht
Reported absences
V. JensenMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
K. ParedesMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
N. OhioMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
A. EngwandaMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
M. JonathansMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
A. StepanovMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
PEC Zwolle
Reported absences
F. KrastevMissing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
Y. NamliMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
S. FloranusQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 01:45 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Utrecht
5.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eredivisie
Position 11
Points / played
11 / 9
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:17 UTC.
PEC Zwolle
6.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 10:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Eredivisie
Position 15
Points / played
7 / 9
Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 04:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 04:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.