Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–2· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 00:11 UTC. Source synced 23 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 16 Oct 2026 19:07 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Stade Brestois 29
WDLDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Stade Brestois 29 scored 11 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Stade Brestois 29 5–1 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 2–2 MonzaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 2–2 ToulouseLigue 1 · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 2–2 VeneziaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
Nice
LLLDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
1 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%
Nice scored 1 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Lyon 2–1 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
Auxerre 1–0 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
Paris FC 3–0 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
Hull City 0–0 NiceFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Juventus 2–0 NiceFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Stade Brestois 29
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
7.80 / 3.67
xG per match, for / against
2.60 / 1.22
Goals on this same sample
7 / 4
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Stade Brestois 29 vs AngersxG for / against Stade Brestois 29: 3.82 / 1.39
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC.
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint GermainxG for / against Stade Brestois 29: 1.24 / 1.16
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 08:29 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 08:29 UTC.
Stade Brestois 29 vs ToulousexG for / against Stade Brestois 29: 2.74 / 1.12
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.
Away matches
Nice
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.69 / 3.34
xG per match, for / against
1.35 / 1.67
Goals on this same sample
1 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Lyon vs NicexG for / against Nice: 1.61 / 1.60
Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 08:18 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 08:18 UTC.
Auxerre vs NicexG for / against Nice: 1.08 / 1.74
Statistics synced: team 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC; opponent 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Stade Brestois 29
Reported absences
B. ChardonnetMissing Fixture · Calf Injury
Record synced 22 Oct 2026 18:44 UTC.
G. VersiniQuestionable · Leg Injury
Record synced 22 Oct 2026 18:44 UTC.
R. Le GuenMissing Fixture · Broken Leg
Record synced 22 Oct 2026 18:44 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Nice
Reported absences
L. AbergelMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 22 Oct 2026 18:44 UTC.
A. AbdiMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 22 Oct 2026 18:44 UTC.
A. MendyMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 22 Oct 2026 18:44 UTC.
M. BombitoMissing Fixture · Leg Injury
Record synced 22 Oct 2026 18:44 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Stade Brestois 29
6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Ligue 1
Position 10
Points / played
9 / 7
Table source synced 22 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.
Nice
5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Ligue 1
Position 13
Points / played
8 / 7
Table source synced 22 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Nice 2–2 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 4–1 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
Nice 6–0 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 0–1 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 0–0 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 22 Oct 2026 18:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.