Ligue 1 · 01 Nov 2026

Lyon vs AngersMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Awaiting confirmed result.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Lyon

WWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Lyon scored 13 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Lyon 2–1 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Lyon 3–2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League · UTC
  3. Lyon 4–0 RennesLigue 1 · UTC
  4. Lyon 3–1 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  5. Lyon 1–1 Le HavreLigue 1 · UTC

Away matches

Angers

LDWDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Angers scored 6 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Stade Brestois 29 5–1 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Le Havre 0–0 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
  3. Auxerre 1–3 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
  4. Stade Brestois 29 1–1 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
  5. Auxerre 3–1 AngersLigue 1 · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Lyon

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
8.38 / 5.13
xG per match, for / against
2.09 / 1.28
Goals on this same sample
10 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Lyon vs Nice xG for / against Lyon: 1.50 / 1.55 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 21:54 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 21:54 UTC.
  2. Lyon vs Crystal Palace xG for / against Lyon: 2.05 / 1.55 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC.
  3. Lyon vs Rennes xG for / against Lyon: 3.13 / 1.37 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 09:55 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 09:55 UTC.
  4. Lyon vs Le Havre xG for / against Lyon: 1.70 / 0.66 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.

Away matches

Angers

Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.52 / 9.14
xG per match, for / against
1.30 / 1.83
Goals on this same sample
6 / 10

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers xG for / against Angers: 1.39 / 3.82 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC.
  2. Le Havre vs Angers xG for / against Angers: 0.59 / 1.31 Statistics synced: team 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC; opponent 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC.
  3. Auxerre vs Angers xG for / against Angers: 1.64 / 1.29 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.
  4. Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers xG for / against Angers: 0.78 / 0.78 Statistics synced: team 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC.
  5. Auxerre vs Angers xG for / against Angers: 2.12 / 1.94 Statistics synced: team 03 May 2026 19:13 UTC; opponent 03 May 2026 19:13 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Lyon

Reported absences

  • L. OpendaMissing Fixture · Leg Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
  • P. SulcMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
  • T. MortonMissing Fixture · Groin Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
  • M. OuedraogoMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
  • S. KangoMissing Fixture · Concussion Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Angers

Reported absences

  • A. El OuazzaniMissing Fixture · Groin Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Lyon

5.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 26 Oct 2026 19:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ligue 1
Position 5
Points / played
14 / 8

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.

Angers

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 16:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ligue 1
Position 14
Points / played
8 / 8

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Angers 0–0 LyonLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Lyon 1–0 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
  3. Lyon 2–0 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
  4. Angers 0–3 LyonLigue 1 · UTC
  5. Angers 1–3 LyonLigue 1 · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 16:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1552804
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
c466b7fbd1fb733d627507ab1d3f2fe23d4ef9db54e9968f07e5a8fb246b1bd1