Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Awaiting confirmed result.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Lyon
WWWWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Lyon scored 13 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Lyon 2–1 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
Lyon 3–2 Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League · UTC
Lyon 4–0 RennesLigue 1 · UTC
Lyon 3–1 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
Lyon 1–1 Le HavreLigue 1 · UTC
Away matches
Angers
LDWDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Angers scored 6 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Stade Brestois 29 5–1 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
Le Havre 0–0 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
Auxerre 1–3 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
Stade Brestois 29 1–1 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
Auxerre 3–1 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Lyon
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
8.38 / 5.13
xG per match, for / against
2.09 / 1.28
Goals on this same sample
10 / 4
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Lyon vs NicexG for / against Lyon: 1.50 / 1.55
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 21:54 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 21:54 UTC.
Lyon vs Crystal PalacexG for / against Lyon: 2.05 / 1.55
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC.
Lyon vs RennesxG for / against Lyon: 3.13 / 1.37
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 09:55 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 09:55 UTC.
Lyon vs Le HavrexG for / against Lyon: 1.70 / 0.66
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.
Away matches
Angers
Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
6.52 / 9.14
xG per match, for / against
1.30 / 1.83
Goals on this same sample
6 / 10
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Stade Brestois 29 vs AngersxG for / against Angers: 1.39 / 3.82
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC.
Le Havre vs AngersxG for / against Angers: 0.59 / 1.31
Statistics synced: team 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC; opponent 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC.
Auxerre vs AngersxG for / against Angers: 1.64 / 1.29
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.
Stade Brestois 29 vs AngersxG for / against Angers: 0.78 / 0.78
Statistics synced: team 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 17 May 2026 21:13 UTC.
Auxerre vs AngersxG for / against Angers: 2.12 / 1.94
Statistics synced: team 03 May 2026 19:13 UTC; opponent 03 May 2026 19:13 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Lyon
Reported absences
L. OpendaMissing Fixture · Leg Injury
Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
P. SulcMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
T. MortonMissing Fixture · Groin Injury
Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
M. OuedraogoMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
S. KangoMissing Fixture · Concussion
Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Angers
Reported absences
A. El OuazzaniMissing Fixture · Groin Injury
Record synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Lyon
5.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 26 Oct 2026 19:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Ligue 1
Position 5
Points / played
14 / 8
Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.
Angers
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 16:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Ligue 1
Position 14
Points / played
8 / 8
Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 16:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Angers 0–0 LyonLigue 1 · UTC
Lyon 1–0 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
Lyon 2–0 AngersLigue 1 · UTC
Angers 0–3 LyonLigue 1 · UTC
Angers 1–3 LyonLigue 1 · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 16:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.