Ligue 1 · 01 Nov 2026

Strasbourg vs AuxerreMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Awaiting confirmed result.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 25 Oct 2026 14:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Strasbourg

LDWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Strasbourg scored 6 and conceded 12 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Strasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Strasbourg 1–1 MonacoLigue 1 · UTC
  3. Strasbourg 2–1 LensLigue 1 · UTC
  4. Strasbourg 2–5 SV ElversbergFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  5. Strasbourg 0–2 BlackburnFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

Auxerre

WLLLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 14
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%

Auxerre scored 8 and conceded 14 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Le Havre 1–3 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Rennes 4–1 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  3. Lyon 3–1 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  4. Lens 5–2 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  5. Sochaux 1–1 AuxerreFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Strasbourg

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.47 / 2.69
xG per match, for / against
1.47 / 2.69
Goals on this same sample
1 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain xG for / against Strasbourg: 1.47 / 2.69 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 07:24 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 07:24 UTC.

Away matches

Auxerre

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.46 / 3.96
xG per match, for / against
2.23 / 1.98
Goals on this same sample
4 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Le Havre vs Auxerre xG for / against Auxerre: 2.70 / 1.40 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 20:24 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 20:24 UTC.
  2. Rennes vs Auxerre xG for / against Auxerre: 1.76 / 2.56 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 17:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 17:35 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Strasbourg

Reported absences

  • S. Amo-AmeyawQuestionable · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
  • F. BaldeQuestionable · Leg Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
  • J. PanichelliMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Auxerre

Reported absences

  • A. DiousseMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
  • B. OkohMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
  • S. FofanaMissing Fixture · Groin Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
  • R. Labeau LascaryMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Strasbourg

6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 16:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ligue 1
Position 16
Points / played
7 / 8

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.

Auxerre

6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 16:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ligue 1
Position 12
Points / played
10 / 8

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Auxerre 0–0 StrasbourgLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Strasbourg 3–0 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  3. Auxerre 0–1 StrasbourgLigue 1 · UTC
  4. Strasbourg 3–1 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  5. Strasbourg 2–0 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1552808
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
887a7b5348e5cfd3bf96f5455d7abd221631b423bc80cc9bf0c5e9c73b714376