Ligue 1 · 07 Nov 2026

Auxerre vs Paris FCMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 31 Oct 2026 16:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Auxerre

DWWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Auxerre scored 9 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Auxerre 1–1 Le MansLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Auxerre 4–3 Clermont FootFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 · UTC
  4. Auxerre 1–0 NiceLigue 1 · UTC
  5. Auxerre 1–3 AngersLigue 1 · UTC

Away matches

Paris FC

LLWDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Paris FC scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Lens 2–1 Paris FCLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Lorient 1–0 Paris FCLigue 1 · UTC
  3. Marseille 2–3 Paris FCLigue 1 · UTC
  4. Estac Troyes 0–0 Paris FCLigue 1 · UTC
  5. Angers 3–2 Paris FCFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Auxerre

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.31 / 4.40
xG per match, for / against
1.33 / 1.10
Goals on this same sample
5 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Auxerre vs Le Mans xG for / against Auxerre: 1.32 / 1.34 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 22:54 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 22:54 UTC.
  2. Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 xG for / against Auxerre: 0.96 / 0.34 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 22:05 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 22:05 UTC.
  3. Auxerre vs Nice xG for / against Auxerre: 1.74 / 1.08 Statistics synced: team 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC; opponent 28 Sep 2026 18:44 UTC.
  4. Auxerre vs Angers xG for / against Auxerre: 1.29 / 1.64 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.

Away matches

Paris FC

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.21 / 2.03
xG per match, for / against
0.74 / 0.68
Goals on this same sample
1 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Lens vs Paris FC xG for / against Paris FC: 0.44 / 1.10 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 13:14 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 13:14 UTC.
  2. Lorient vs Paris FC xG for / against Paris FC: 0.97 / 0.55 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 08:20 UTC.
  3. Estac Troyes vs Paris FC xG for / against Paris FC: 0.80 / 0.38 Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 02:20 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 02:20 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Auxerre

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Paris FC

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Auxerre

6.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ligue 1
Position 14
Points / played
10 / 9

Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 17:14 UTC.

Paris FC

6.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 16:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ligue 1
Position 4
Points / played
17 / 9

Table source synced 06 Nov 2026 17:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Auxerre 0–0 Paris FCLigue 1 · UTC
  2. Paris FC 1–1 AuxerreLigue 1 · UTC
  3. Auxerre 2–0 Paris FCLigue 2 · UTC
  4. Paris FC 0–2 AuxerreLigue 2 · UTC
  5. Auxerre 1–2 Paris FCLigue 2 · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 06 Nov 2026 18:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1552811
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
c5832f0804b53e9a15584eba2a63a61fb117060b00f3c89e2c45c4d092c71b2b