Ekstraklasa · 18 Oct 2026

Gornik Zabrze vs Piast GliwiceMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 03:20 UTC. Source synced 18 Oct 2026 20:44 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 18 Oct 2026 11:31 UTC Source synced 18 Oct 2026 11:31 UTC · source kickoff 18 Oct 2026 10:15 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 1–1 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 19 Oct 2026 03:20 UTC Source synced 18 Oct 2026 20:44 UTC · source kickoff 18 Oct 2026 10:15 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Gornik Zabrze

LWLLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Gornik Zabrze scored 8 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Gornik Zabrze 0–2 Odra OpoleFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Lech PoznanEkstraklasa · UTC
  3. Gornik Zabrze 2–3 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa · UTC
  4. Gornik Zabrze 2–3 MonacoUEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
  5. Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa · UTC

Away matches

Piast Gliwice

WWWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
0/5 0%

Piast Gliwice scored 7 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 0 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Radomiak Radom 0–2 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa · UTC
  2. Chemik Bydgoszcz 0–3 Piast GliwiceCup · UTC
  3. Motor Lublin 0–2 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa · UTC
  4. Lech Poznan 3–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa · UTC
  5. Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Gornik Zabrze

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
0.70 / 1.64
xG per match, for / against
0.70 / 1.64
Goals on this same sample
2 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow xG for / against Gornik Zabrze: 0.70 / 1.64 Statistics synced: team 16 Aug 2026 20:24 UTC; opponent 16 Aug 2026 20:24 UTC.

Away matches

Piast Gliwice

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.31 / 5.47
xG per match, for / against
1.10 / 1.82
Goals on this same sample
2 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice xG for / against Piast Gliwice: 1.79 / 2.33 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 10:00 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 10:00 UTC.
  2. Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice xG for / against Piast Gliwice: 1.02 / 2.73 Statistics synced: team 09 Aug 2026 17:33 UTC; opponent 09 Aug 2026 17:33 UTC.
  3. Zaglebie Lubin vs Piast Gliwice xG for / against Piast Gliwice: 0.50 / 0.41 Statistics synced: team 27 Jul 2026 19:13 UTC; opponent 27 Jul 2026 19:13 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Gornik Zabrze

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Piast Gliwice

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Gornik Zabrze

7.7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 18:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ekstraklasa
Position 1
Points / played
25 / 10

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.

Piast Gliwice

6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 12:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ekstraklasa
Position 7
Points / played
16 / 10

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 18 Oct 2026 00:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1553193
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
c6c705b7a966c80e8b244c5a450a6e1de30f0e3175512cac35ec11f224aed69b