Ekstraklasa · 31 Oct 2026

Lech Poznan vs Wisla KrakowMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 01 Nov 2026 12:11 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Lech Poznan

DWLDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
14 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Lech Poznan scored 14 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Lech Poznan 1–1 SunderlandUEFA Europa League · UTC
  2. Lech Poznan 6–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa · UTC
  3. Lech Poznan 0–4 Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League · UTC
  4. Lech Poznan 2–2 Energie CottbusFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  5. Lech Poznan 5–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa · UTC

Away matches

Wisla Krakow

DLWDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Wisla Krakow scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Widzew Łódź 0–0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa · UTC
  2. Legia Warszawa 2–0 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa · UTC
  3. Piast Gliwice 3–4 Wisla KrakowFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. Korona Kielce 1–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa · UTC
  5. Odra Opole 2–1 Wisla KrakowCup · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Lech Poznan

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
9.47 / 10.38
xG per match, for / against
2.37 / 2.59
Goals on this same sample
12 / 7

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Lech Poznan vs Sunderland xG for / against Lech Poznan: 2.68 / 2.99 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC.
  2. Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce xG for / against Lech Poznan: 2.24 / 1.19 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 20:25 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 20:25 UTC.
  3. Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen xG for / against Lech Poznan: 0.57 / 5.22 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC.
  4. Lech Poznan vs Radomiak Radom xG for / against Lech Poznan: 3.98 / 0.98 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 06:25 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 06:25 UTC.

Away matches

Wisla Krakow

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.32 / 1.90
xG per match, for / against
1.66 / 0.95
Goals on this same sample
0 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Widzew Łódź vs Wisla Krakow xG for / against Wisla Krakow: 2.49 / 0.58 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 20:45 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 20:45 UTC.
  2. Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow xG for / against Wisla Krakow: 0.83 / 1.32 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 19:05 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 19:05 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Lech Poznan

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Wisla Krakow

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Lech Poznan

3.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 11:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ekstraklasa
Position 1
Points / played
28 / 11

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 04:20 UTC.

Wisla Krakow

6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 18:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Ekstraklasa
Position 5
Points / played
21 / 12

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 04:20 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 05:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1553212
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
7fe58654c959575631b360ed93e0d32c41176a60f31837fbff525bcf2195098c