Super Liga · 25 Oct 2026

OFK Beograd vs FK Crvena ZvezdaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–1 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 26 Oct 2026 14:01 UTC. Source synced 25 Oct 2026 21:19 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 25 Oct 2026 16:11 UTC Source synced 25 Oct 2026 16:11 UTC · source kickoff 25 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 0–1 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 26 Oct 2026 14:01 UTC Source synced 25 Oct 2026 21:19 UTC · source kickoff 25 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

OFK Beograd

LDWDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

OFK Beograd scored 8 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. OFK Beograd 3–5 Radnicki 1923Super Liga · UTC
  2. OFK Beograd 1–1 IMT Novi BeogradSuper Liga · UTC
  3. OFK Beograd 1–0 ZemunSuper Liga · UTC
  4. OFK Beograd 2–2 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga · UTC
  5. OFK Beograd 1–2 Gaziantep FKFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

FK Crvena Zvezda

LWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

FK Crvena Zvezda scored 10 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. FC Lugano 3–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
  2. Radnicki 1923 0–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga · UTC
  3. IMT Novi Beograd 0–1 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga · UTC
  4. Zemun 0–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga · UTC
  5. Železničar Pančevo 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

OFK Beograd

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

FK Crvena Zvezda

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.62 / 4.24
xG per match, for / against
1.54 / 1.41
Goals on this same sample
6 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda xG for / against FK Crvena Zvezda: 1.23 / 2.29 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 16:56 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 16:56 UTC.
  2. Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda xG for / against FK Crvena Zvezda: 2.17 / 1.35 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC.
  3. IMT Novi Beograd vs FK Crvena Zvezda xG for / against FK Crvena Zvezda: 1.22 / 0.60 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 07:40 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 07:40 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

OFK Beograd

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

FK Crvena Zvezda

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

OFK Beograd

7.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Super Liga
Position 11
Points / played
11 / 12

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 03:21 UTC.

FK Crvena Zvezda

2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 22 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Super Liga
Position 1
Points / played
34 / 12

Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 03:21 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 25 Oct 2026 04:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1553894
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
b1f0eda9e5b2c0964327c9c8dcfc8910ffe5cde157b76584cdc3fc075585417e