J1 League · 17 Oct 2026

JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. MarinosMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 17 Oct 2026 08:41 UTC. Source synced 17 Oct 2026 08:39 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

JEF United Chiba

DWLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

JEF United Chiba scored 5 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. JEF United Chiba 1–1 V-varen NagasakiJ1 League · UTC
  2. JEF United Chiba 2–0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League · UTC
  3. JEF United Chiba 1–2 Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League · UTC
  4. JEF United Chiba 0–4 Machida ZelviaJ1 League · UTC
  5. JEF United Chiba 1–2 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League · UTC

Away matches

Yokohama F. Marinos

DWDWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Yokohama F. Marinos scored 7 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Cerezo Osaka 0–0 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League · UTC
  2. Montedio Yamagata 1–2 Yokohama F. MarinosJ-League Cup · UTC
  3. Machida Zelvia 1–1 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League · UTC
  4. Kashiwa Reysol 0–2 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League · UTC
  5. Urawa 3–2 Yokohama F. MarinosJ1 League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

JEF United Chiba

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.79 / 0.62
xG per match, for / against
2.79 / 0.62
Goals on this same sample
1 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki xG for / against JEF United Chiba: 2.79 / 0.62 Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 17:45 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 17:45 UTC.

Away matches

Yokohama F. Marinos

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
0.93 / 0.76
xG per match, for / against
0.93 / 0.76
Goals on this same sample
0 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos xG for / against Yokohama F. Marinos: 0.93 / 0.76 Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 02:45 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 02:45 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

JEF United Chiba

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Yokohama F. Marinos

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

JEF United Chiba

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 05:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

J-League
Position 19
Points / played
5 / 9

Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 23:18 UTC.

Yokohama F. Marinos

2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 14 Oct 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

J-League
Position 7
Points / played
15 / 9

Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 23:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 00:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1556092
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
2f17e5cf1541a9856cd977d10f95c20713411ee1b701ab3edb689790c740e907