J1 League · 07 Nov 2026

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki FrontaleMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: 07 Nov 2026 · 07:00 UTC.

Published 07 Nov 2026 · 00:20 UTC. This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win: 45%
Draw: 45%
Away win: 10%

Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 07 Nov 2026 00:16 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 06 Nov 2026 21:03 UTC; synced 07 Nov 2026 00:16 UTC. Saved 07 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds: 2.13
Without margin: 43.67%
Provider estimate: 45.00%
Provider − market: +1.33 pp

Draw

Decimal odds: 3.8
Without margin: 24.48%
Provider estimate: 45.00%
Provider − market: +20.52 pp

Away win

Decimal odds: 2.92
Without margin: 31.85%
Provider estimate: 10.00%
Provider − market: -21.85 pp

Raw implied probability total: 107.51%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Kashiwa Reysol

WWLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size: 5 matches
Goals scored / conceded: 16 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency: 4/5 80%
BTTS frequency: 3/5 60%

Kashiwa Reysol scored 16 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures

03 Nov 2026Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Daejeon CitizenAFC Champions League Elite · UTC
31 Oct 2026Kashiwa Reysol 4–0 UrawaJ1 League · UTC
17 Oct 2026Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League · UTC
14 Oct 2026Kashiwa Reysol 5–1 Port FCAFC Champions League Elite · UTC
09 Oct 2026Kashiwa Reysol 4–2 Vissel KobeJ1 League · UTC

Away matches

Kawasaki Frontale

LWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size: 5 matches
Goals scored / conceded: 13 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency: 3/5 60%
BTTS frequency: 2/5 40%

Kawasaki Frontale scored 13 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures

01 Nov 2026Yokohama F. Marinos 4–2 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League · UTC
28 Oct 2026Sagan Tosu 0–2 Kawasaki FrontaleJ-League Cup · UTC
17 Oct 2026Cerezo Osaka 2–4 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League · UTC
14 Oct 2026Jubilo Iwata 0–4 Kawasaki FrontaleJ-League Cup · UTC
29 Sep 2026Roasso Kumamoto 0–1 Kawasaki FrontaleJ-League Cup · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Kashiwa Reysol

Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against: 9.53 / 5.66
xG per match, for / against: 1.91 / 1.13
Goals on this same sample: 16 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample

03 Nov 2026 Kashiwa Reysol vs Daejeon Citizen xG for / against Kashiwa Reysol: 2.44 / 0.50 Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 10:05 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 10:05 UTC.
31 Oct 2026 Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa xG for / against Kashiwa Reysol: 1.28 / 1.47 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 08:24 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 08:24 UTC.
17 Oct 2026 Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus xG for / against Kashiwa Reysol: 1.07 / 1.72 Statistics synced: team 26 Oct 2026 21:35 UTC; opponent 26 Oct 2026 21:35 UTC.
14 Oct 2026 Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC xG for / against Kashiwa Reysol: 2.96 / 0.68 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC.
09 Oct 2026 Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe xG for / against Kashiwa Reysol: 1.78 / 1.29 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 10:05 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 10:05 UTC.

Away matches

Kawasaki Frontale

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against: 2.42 / 3.58
xG per match, for / against: 1.21 / 1.79
Goals on this same sample: 6 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample

01 Nov 2026 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale xG for / against Kawasaki Frontale: 1.36 / 2.05 Statistics synced: team 05 Nov 2026 00:45 UTC; opponent 05 Nov 2026 00:45 UTC.
17 Oct 2026 Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale xG for / against Kawasaki Frontale: 1.06 / 1.53 Statistics synced: team 31 Oct 2026 06:15 UTC; opponent 31 Oct 2026 06:15 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Kashiwa Reysol

Reported absences

Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Kawasaki Frontale

Reported absences

Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Kashiwa Reysol

3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Nov 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

J-League: Position 4
Points / played: 28 / 13

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kawasaki Frontale

6.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 04:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

J-League: Position 7
Points / played: 22 / 13

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

10 May 2026Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League · UTC
08 Feb 2026Kawasaki Frontale 5–3 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League · UTC
12 Oct 2025Kashiwa Reysol 4–1 Kawasaki FrontaleJ-League Cup · UTC
08 Oct 2025Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 Kashiwa ReysolJ-League Cup · UTC
28 Sep 2025Kawasaki Frontale 4–4 Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record

Fixture ID: 1556135
Method: factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum: 5f60aea10a5ab48af4a0e31d3b19aca67e934c45ace7063f7a10349175edb2f5