Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–0· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 03:51 UTC. Source synced 18 Oct 2026 20:44 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 11 Oct 2026 13:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Bournemouth
WLDWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Bournemouth scored 10 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Bournemouth 3–0 Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League · UTC
Bournemouth 0–1 LiverpoolPremier League · UTC
Bournemouth 2–2 BrentfordPremier League · UTC
Bournemouth 4–0 LincolnLeague Cup · UTC
Bournemouth 1–1 EvertonPremier League · UTC
Away matches
Sunderland
WLDLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Sunderland scored 9 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Torreense 1–2 SunderlandUEFA Europa League · UTC
Manchester City 5–3 SunderlandPremier League · UTC
Brentford 1–1 SunderlandPremier League · UTC
Ipswich 2–1 SunderlandPremier League · UTC
Lens 0–2 SunderlandFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Bournemouth
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.67 / 2.02
xG per match, for / against
1.84 / 1.01
Goals on this same sample
3 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Bournemouth vs Sturm GrazxG for / against Bournemouth: 2.88 / 0.37
Statistics synced: team 16 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC; opponent 16 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC.
Bournemouth vs LiverpoolxG for / against Bournemouth: 0.79 / 1.65
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 22:06 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 22:06 UTC.
Away matches
Sunderland
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.39 / 2.90
xG per match, for / against
2.70 / 1.45
Goals on this same sample
5 / 6
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Torreense vs SunderlandxG for / against Sunderland: 1.82 / 0.08
Statistics synced: team 16 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC; opponent 16 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC.
Manchester City vs SunderlandxG for / against Sunderland: 3.57 / 2.82
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 22:14 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 22:14 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Bournemouth
Reported absences
J. AraujoMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
A. ScottMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
E. J. KroupiMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
V. MilosavljevicQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sunderland
Reported absences
T. MeunierMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
D. BallardMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
W. IsidorQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
R. MundleMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 17 Oct 2026 08:45 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Bournemouth
2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Premier League
Position 18
Points / played
3 / 6
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 12:14 UTC.
Sunderland
2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Premier League
Position 17
Points / played
4 / 6
Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 12:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Bournemouth 1–1 SunderlandPremier League · UTC
Sunderland 3–2 BournemouthPremier League · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.