UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · 16 Oct 2026

Czechia U17 vs Moldova U17Match analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 2–0 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 16 Oct 2026 21:31 UTC. Source synced 16 Oct 2026 21:29 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 1H Initial source observation · 16 Oct 2026 10:10 UTC Source synced 16 Oct 2026 10:10 UTC · source kickoff 16 Oct 2026 10:00 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 2–0 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 16 Oct 2026 21:31 UTC Source synced 16 Oct 2026 21:29 UTC · source kickoff 16 Oct 2026 10:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.667 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Home win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v2. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

Provider rounding was adjusted for scoring only by dividing each probability by their total. Displayed and stored percentages remain unchanged.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
33%
Draw
33%
Away win
33%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Czechia U17

DDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
4 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
1/4 25%
BTTS frequency
3/4 75%

Czechia U17 scored 3 and conceded 5 across these 4 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Czechia U17 1–1 Austria U17UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · UTC
  2. Czechia U17 1–1 Denmark U17UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · UTC
  3. Czechia U17 0–1 United States U17World Cup - U17 · UTC
  4. Czechia U17 1–2 Burkina Faso U17World Cup - U17 · UTC

Away matches

Moldova U17

WDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
3 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/3 66.7%
BTTS frequency
1/3 33.3%

Moldova U17 scored 8 and conceded 3 across these 3 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Gibraltar U17 0–7 Moldova U17UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · UTC
  2. Finland U17 0–0 Moldova U17UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · UTC
  3. Hungary U17 3–1 Moldova U17Friendlies · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Czechia U17

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 4 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Moldova U17

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 3 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Czechia U17

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Moldova U17

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Czechia U17

16 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 Sep 2026 09:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Euro U17 Qualification: First stage
Position 2
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 15 Oct 2026 23:25 UTC.

Moldova U17

169.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 29 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Euro U17 Qualification: First stage
Position 3
Points / played
0 / 0

Table source synced 15 Oct 2026 23:25 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 16 Oct 2026 00:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1559443
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
0e2dc44e2ceef22bde1e4f514a20818756ba67cded5e1764d535788aecc4e53e