Czech Liga · 10 Oct 2026

Plzen vs Mlada BoleslavMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 10 Oct 2026 15:10 UTC. Source synced 10 Oct 2026 15:09 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Plzen

LLDWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Plzen scored 7 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Plzen 0–3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League · UTC
  2. Plzen 2–3 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga · UTC
  3. Plzen 1–1 SlováckoCzech Liga · UTC
  4. Plzen 3–2 ZlinCzech Liga · UTC
  5. Plzen 1–1 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga · UTC

Away matches

Mlada Boleslav

WLWDD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Mlada Boleslav scored 10 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Třinec 0–3 Mlada BoleslavCup · UTC
  2. Slovan Liberec 3–0 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga · UTC
  3. Meteor Praha 0–4 Mlada BoleslavCup · UTC
  4. Pardubice 1–1 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga · UTC
  5. Sigma Olomouc 2–2 Mlada BoleslavCzech Liga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Plzen

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.05 / 1.22
xG per match, for / against
1.53 / 0.61
Goals on this same sample
3 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Plzen vs Sigma Olomouc xG for / against Plzen: 2.25 / 0.60 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 04:10 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 04:10 UTC.
  2. Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno xG for / against Plzen: 0.80 / 0.62 Statistics synced: team 02 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 02 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.

Away matches

Mlada Boleslav

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.08 / 2.48
xG per match, for / against
1.08 / 2.48
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav xG for / against Mlada Boleslav: 1.08 / 2.48 Statistics synced: team 03 Aug 2026 08:20 UTC; opponent 03 Aug 2026 08:20 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Plzen

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Mlada Boleslav

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Plzen

19.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 20 Sep 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Czech Liga
Position 10
Points / played
10 / 9

Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 01:19 UTC.

Mlada Boleslav

8.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 02 Oct 2026 09:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Czech Liga
Position 3
Points / played
17 / 8

Table source synced 10 Oct 2026 01:19 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 10 Oct 2026 02:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1560037
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
292adbff7513bd00eae9855bb7a4de4f3e1499e78745f471e0882dda5acbf6b4