Czech Liga · 18 Oct 2026

Baník Ostrava vs Sparta PrahaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 04:01 UTC. Source synced 18 Oct 2026 20:44 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Baník Ostrava

LWWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Baník Ostrava scored 6 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Baník Ostrava 1–2 PardubiceCzech Liga · UTC
  2. Baník Ostrava 1–0 Sigma OlomoucCzech Liga · UTC
  3. Baník Ostrava 1–0 ArtisCzech Liga · UTC
  4. Baník Ostrava 0–4 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga · UTC
  5. Baník Ostrava 3–1 HanáckáFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

Sparta Praha

WWWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
17 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Sparta Praha scored 17 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Sigma Olomouc 0–3 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga · UTC
  2. Ararat-Armenia 1–4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League · UTC
  3. Viktoria Žižkov 0–5 Sparta PrahaCup · UTC
  4. Hradec Králové 2–1 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga · UTC
  5. Artis 0–4 Sparta PrahaCzech Liga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Baník Ostrava

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.21 / 2.33
xG per match, for / against
1.21 / 2.33
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice xG for / against Baník Ostrava: 1.21 / 2.33 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 02:40 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 02:40 UTC.

Away matches

Sparta Praha

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.97 / 2.01
xG per match, for / against
1.48 / 1.01
Goals on this same sample
4 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha xG for / against Sparta Praha: 1.88 / 0.86 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 22:14 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 22:14 UTC.
  2. Hradec Králové vs Sparta Praha xG for / against Sparta Praha: 1.09 / 1.15 Statistics synced: team 07 Sep 2026 10:22 UTC; opponent 07 Sep 2026 10:22 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Baník Ostrava

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sparta Praha

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Baník Ostrava

7.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Czech Liga
Position 13
Points / played
10 / 10

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.

Sparta Praha

2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Czech Liga
Position 5
Points / played
18 / 10

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 01:25 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 18 Oct 2026 02:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1560045
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
f8ef0ae9d808a1df2bf706282825e3af7c9c59f3574e66c08ec7a89ee2cf6ead