Championship · 20 Oct 2026

Wolves vs PortsmouthMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 21 Oct 2026 05:20 UTC. Source synced 20 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Wolves

LWWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Wolves scored 11 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Wolves 1–3 BoltonChampionship · UTC
  2. Wolves 1–0 West BromChampionship · UTC
  3. Wolves 4–1 Stoke CityChampionship · UTC
  4. Wolves 2–2 BlackburnChampionship · UTC
  5. Wolves 3–0 Port ValeLeague Cup · UTC

Away matches

Portsmouth

WLDLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Portsmouth scored 5 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Norwich 0–1 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  2. Southampton 1–0 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  3. Charlton 0–0 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  4. Bristol City 2–1 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  5. Lincoln 1–3 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Wolves

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.22 / 2.71
xG per match, for / against
2.07 / 0.90
Goals on this same sample
4 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Wolves vs Bolton xG for / against Wolves: 2.23 / 1.62 Statistics synced: team 16 Oct 2026 20:45 UTC; opponent 16 Oct 2026 20:45 UTC.
  2. Wolves vs West Brom xG for / against Wolves: 1.95 / 0.29 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC.
  3. Wolves vs Blackburn xG for / against Wolves: 2.04 / 0.80 Statistics synced: team 14 Aug 2026 21:02 UTC; opponent 14 Aug 2026 21:02 UTC.

Away matches

Portsmouth

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.43 / 1.65
xG per match, for / against
1.21 / 0.83
Goals on this same sample
1 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Norwich vs Portsmouth xG for / against Portsmouth: 1.25 / 0.37 Statistics synced: team 19 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC; opponent 19 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC.
  2. Southampton vs Portsmouth xG for / against Portsmouth: 1.18 / 1.28 Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 20:55 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 20:55 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Wolves

Reported absences

  • B. TraoreMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • R. JimenezMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • A. ArmstrongMissing Fixture · Back Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • B. TraoreMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • R. GomesMissing Fixture · Foot Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Portsmouth

Reported absences

  • K. AndersonQuestionable · Overload Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • J. MurphyMissing Fixture · Groin Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • C. OgilvieMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • C. ShaughnessyQuestionable · Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • M. KosznovszkyMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • F. UmehMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • T. WaddinghamMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • B. ArthurMissing Fixture · Back Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.
  • L. Brooke-SmithMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 20 Oct 2026 00:25 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Wolves

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 16 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Championship
Position 8
Points / played
17 / 10

Table source synced 20 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.

Portsmouth

3.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Championship
Position 13
Points / played
14 / 10

Table source synced 20 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 20 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1563150
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
e8183ea8ae65ab0a1eb2d5e0ddff1289c03e772de6972e8f38ca3b5cf203e7a8