Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–2· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 16 Oct 2026 21:50 UTC. Source synced 16 Oct 2026 21:49 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Burnley
DDLDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%
Burnley scored 7 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Burnley 2–2 CharltonChampionship · UTC
Burnley 1–1 DerbyChampionship · UTC
Burnley 1–2 Bristol CityChampionship · UTC
Burnley 1–1 MiddlesbroughChampionship · UTC
Burnley 2–2 West HamChampionship · UTC
Away matches
Wolves
LLWDL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Wolves scored 5 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Middlesbrough 1–0 WolvesChampionship · UTC
Everton 1–0 WolvesLeague Cup · UTC
Sheffield Utd 0–1 WolvesChampionship · UTC
Birmingham 2–2 WolvesChampionship · UTC
West Ham 4–2 WolvesChampionship · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Burnley
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.27 / 6.31
xG per match, for / against
1.07 / 1.58
Goals on this same sample
6 / 6
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Burnley vs CharltonxG for / against Burnley: 1.08 / 2.13
Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.
Burnley vs DerbyxG for / against Burnley: 0.45 / 1.75
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Burnley vs MiddlesbroughxG for / against Burnley: 0.64 / 1.22
Statistics synced: team 04 Sep 2026 00:22 UTC; opponent 04 Sep 2026 00:22 UTC.
Burnley vs West HamxG for / against Burnley: 2.10 / 1.21
Statistics synced: team 17 Aug 2026 08:17 UTC; opponent 17 Aug 2026 08:17 UTC.
Away matches
Wolves
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.25 / 1.53
xG per match, for / against
1.13 / 0.77
Goals on this same sample
1 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Middlesbrough vs WolvesxG for / against Wolves: 0.68 / 0.90
Statistics synced: team 14 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC; opponent 14 Oct 2026 09:25 UTC.
Sheffield Utd vs WolvesxG for / against Wolves: 1.57 / 0.63
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 02:40 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 02:40 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Burnley
Reported absences
A. AhmedhodzicMissing Fixture · Knock
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
A. BarnesMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
M. ObafemiMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
J. CullenQuestionable · Knee Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
J. BeyerMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
M. Tresor NdayishimiyeQuestionable · Inactive
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Z. AmdouniQuestionable · Ankle Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
H. MejbriMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
B. HumphreysMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
S. SamboQuestionable · Inactive
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
A. RamseyMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
J. BanelQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
E. AgyeiMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Wolves
Reported absences
B. TraoreMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
R. JimenezMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
A. ArmstrongMissing Fixture · Back Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
B. TraoreMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Y. MosqueraMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
R. GomesQuestionable · Foot Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
M. JiQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 16 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Burnley
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 13 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Championship
Position 21
Points / played
8 / 10
Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
Wolves
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 13 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Championship
Position 10
Points / played
14 / 9
Table source synced 16 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 16 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.