Championship · 31 Oct 2026

Burnley vs PortsmouthMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 01 Nov 2026 14:21 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Burnley

LDDLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%

Burnley scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Burnley 1–2 WolvesChampionship · UTC
  2. Burnley 2–2 CharltonChampionship · UTC
  3. Burnley 1–1 DerbyChampionship · UTC
  4. Burnley 1–2 Bristol CityChampionship · UTC
  5. Burnley 1–1 MiddlesbroughChampionship · UTC

Away matches

Portsmouth

DWLDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Portsmouth scored 3 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Wolves 1–1 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  2. Norwich 0–1 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  3. Southampton 1–0 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  4. Charlton 0–0 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC
  5. Bristol City 2–1 PortsmouthChampionship · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Burnley

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.17 / 6.92
xG per match, for / against
0.79 / 1.73
Goals on this same sample
5 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Burnley vs Wolves xG for / against Burnley: 1.00 / 1.82 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 21:35 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 21:35 UTC.
  2. Burnley vs Charlton xG for / against Burnley: 1.08 / 2.13 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 03:19 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 03:19 UTC.
  3. Burnley vs Derby xG for / against Burnley: 0.45 / 1.75 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 00:35 UTC.
  4. Burnley vs Middlesbrough xG for / against Burnley: 0.64 / 1.22 Statistics synced: team 04 Sep 2026 00:22 UTC; opponent 04 Sep 2026 00:22 UTC.

Away matches

Portsmouth

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.02 / 2.58
xG per match, for / against
1.01 / 0.86
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Wolves vs Portsmouth xG for / against Portsmouth: 0.65 / 1.01 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 03:19 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 03:19 UTC.
  2. Norwich vs Portsmouth xG for / against Portsmouth: 1.19 / 0.29 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 05:05 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 05:05 UTC.
  3. Southampton vs Portsmouth xG for / against Portsmouth: 1.18 / 1.28 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 11:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 11:35 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Burnley

Reported absences

  • J. Bruun LarsenMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • K. WalkerQuestionable · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • A. AhmedhodzicMissing Fixture · Knock Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • J. VardyQuestionable · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • M. ObafemiMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • B. AmosMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • J. CullenQuestionable · Lacking Match Fitness Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • J. BeyerMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • M. Tresor NdayishimiyeMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • Z. AmdouniMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • A. BrojaQuestionable · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • H. MejbriMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • B. HumphreysMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • S. SamboMissing Fixture · Inactive Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • A. RamseyMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • J. BanelQuestionable · Lacking Match Fitness Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Portsmouth

Reported absences

  • K. AndersonMissing Fixture · Overload Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • J. MurphyQuestionable · Groin Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • J. SwiftMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • C. OgilvieMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • C. ShaughnessyQuestionable · Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • C. BishopMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • M. KosznovszkyMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • B. ArthurMissing Fixture · Back Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.
  • L. Brooke-SmithMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 31 Oct 2026 01:26 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Burnley

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Championship
Position 22
Points / played
8 / 12

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC.

Portsmouth

7.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 11:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Championship
Position 12
Points / played
18 / 12

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 03:40 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1563228
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
93807b1a844e1e6b42a29776b1c1e82535cabc1246bd01e9d5e9f81ae9b27fad