Championship · 07 Nov 2026

Portsmouth vs Stoke CityMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Portsmouth

WWWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Portsmouth scored 12 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Portsmouth 3–1 SwanseaChampionship · UTC
  2. Portsmouth 2–1 MillwallChampionship · UTC
  3. Portsmouth 3–2 Sheffield UtdChampionship · UTC
  4. Portsmouth 2–2 BlackburnChampionship · UTC
  5. Portsmouth 2–0 CardiffChampionship · UTC

Away matches

Stoke City

WWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Stoke City scored 8 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Blackburn 1–2 Stoke CityChampionship · UTC
  2. Derby 0–1 Stoke CityChampionship · UTC
  3. Bolton 1–2 Stoke CityChampionship · UTC
  4. Watford 1–2 Stoke CityChampionship · UTC
  5. Cardiff 1–1 Stoke CityChampionship · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Portsmouth

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.80 / 5.54
xG per match, for / against
1.45 / 1.39
Goals on this same sample
10 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Portsmouth vs Swansea xG for / against Portsmouth: 1.44 / 2.31 Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 21:06 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 21:06 UTC.
  2. Portsmouth vs Millwall xG for / against Portsmouth: 0.75 / 0.84 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 02:25 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 02:25 UTC.
  3. Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd xG for / against Portsmouth: 2.01 / 1.80 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 18:25 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 18:25 UTC.
  4. Portsmouth vs Blackburn xG for / against Portsmouth: 1.60 / 0.59 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 00:36 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 00:36 UTC.

Away matches

Stoke City

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.62 / 6.02
xG per match, for / against
0.87 / 2.01
Goals on this same sample
5 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Blackburn vs Stoke City xG for / against Stoke City: 1.29 / 1.90 Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 21:06 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 21:06 UTC.
  2. Derby vs Stoke City xG for / against Stoke City: 0.59 / 0.99 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 05:05 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 05:05 UTC.
  3. Bolton vs Stoke City xG for / against Stoke City: 0.74 / 3.13 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 04:14 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 04:14 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Portsmouth

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Stoke City

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Portsmouth

3.7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Nov 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Championship
Position 10
Points / played
22 / 14

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 01:15 UTC.

Stoke City

3.7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Nov 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Championship
Position 4
Points / played
26 / 14

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 01:15 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Nov 2026 01:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1563257
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
75f320fe7ba1161f4b7c5978e83d0bf6847986d79bfd6f48ca9f96ff0d58d815