Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 21 Oct 2026 22:51 UTC. Source synced 21 Oct 2026 22:49 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 16 Sep 2026 19:11 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Levante
DLWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Levante scored 13 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Levante 3–3 SevillaLa Liga · UTC
Levante 2–4 BarcelonaLa Liga · UTC
Levante 5–2 Real BetisLa Liga · UTC
Levante 2–1 AlbaceteFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Levante 1–0 Al-Qadisiyah FCFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
Athletic Club
DWLLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%
Athletic Club scored 3 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Valencia 0–0 Athletic ClubLa Liga · UTC
Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic ClubLa Liga · UTC
Barcelona 2–0 Athletic ClubLa Liga · UTC
Zaragoza 3–1 Athletic ClubFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Atalanta 1–0 Athletic ClubFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Levante
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.29 / 4.80
xG per match, for / against
2.15 / 2.40
Goals on this same sample
5 / 7
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Levante vs SevillaxG for / against Levante: 1.87 / 2.22
Statistics synced: team 15 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC; opponent 15 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC.
Levante vs BarcelonaxG for / against Levante: 2.42 / 2.58
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 06:10 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 06:10 UTC.
Away matches
Athletic Club
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.51 / 5.95
xG per match, for / against
1.17 / 1.98
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Valencia vs Athletic ClubxG for / against Athletic Club: 0.65 / 1.49
Statistics synced: team 19 Oct 2026 14:20 UTC; opponent 19 Oct 2026 14:20 UTC.
Celta Vigo vs Athletic ClubxG for / against Athletic Club: 2.64 / 0.56
Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 21:32 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 21:32 UTC.
Barcelona vs Athletic ClubxG for / against Athletic Club: 0.22 / 3.90
Statistics synced: team 27 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC; opponent 27 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Levante
Reported absences
H. SoteloMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
A. PrimoMissing Fixture · Shoulder Injury
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
K. Etta EyongMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Athletic Club
Reported absences
G. GuruzetaQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
O. SancetMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
N. WilliamsMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
A. DjaloMissing Fixture · Illness
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
U. EgiluzMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 20 Oct 2026 12:21 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Levante
5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 16 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 17
Points / played
7 / 8
Table source synced 20 Oct 2026 17:20 UTC.
Athletic Club
4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 11
Points / played
9 / 7
Table source synced 20 Oct 2026 17:20 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Athletic Club 4–2 LevanteLa Liga · UTC
Levante 0–2 Athletic ClubLa Liga · UTC
Athletic Club 3–1 LevanteLa Liga · UTC
Levante 0–0 Athletic ClubLa Liga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 20 Oct 2026 18:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.