La Liga · 16 Oct 2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs LevanteMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 16 Oct 2026 22:31 UTC. Source synced 16 Oct 2026 22:29 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 09 Oct 2026 19:08 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Deportivo La Coruna

LDLWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Deportivo La Coruna scored 6 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Deportivo La Coruna 1–3 FC PortoFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Real BetisLa Liga · UTC
  3. Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 SevillaLa Liga · UTC
  4. Deportivo La Coruna 3–1 ValenciaLa Liga · UTC
  5. Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 ElcheLa Liga · UTC

Away matches

Levante

LDDLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Levante scored 4 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Villarreal 3–1 LevanteLa Liga · UTC
  2. Malaga 0–0 LevanteLa Liga · UTC
  3. Osasuna 0–0 LevanteLa Liga · UTC
  4. Espanyol 3–0 LevanteLa Liga · UTC
  5. Castellón 1–3 LevanteFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Deportivo La Coruna

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.88 / 4.27
xG per match, for / against
0.97 / 1.07
Goals on this same sample
5 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis xG for / against Deportivo La Coruna: 2.09 / 0.80 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 05:25 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 05:25 UTC.
  2. Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla xG for / against Deportivo La Coruna: 0.14 / 0.73 Statistics synced: team 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC; opponent 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC.
  3. Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia xG for / against Deportivo La Coruna: 1.42 / 1.33 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 19:43 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 19:43 UTC.
  4. Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche xG for / against Deportivo La Coruna: 0.23 / 1.41 Statistics synced: team 17 Aug 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 17 Aug 2026 21:13 UTC.

Away matches

Levante

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.99 / 6.49
xG per match, for / against
0.66 / 2.16
Goals on this same sample
1 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Villarreal vs Levante xG for / against Levante: 0.45 / 4.27 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 05:25 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 05:25 UTC.
  2. Osasuna vs Levante xG for / against Levante: 1.26 / 0.67 Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 19:32 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 19:32 UTC.
  3. Espanyol vs Levante xG for / against Levante: 0.28 / 1.55 Statistics synced: team 17 Aug 2026 04:20 UTC; opponent 17 Aug 2026 04:20 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Deportivo La Coruna

Reported absences

  • P. AubameyangMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.
  • Z. EddahchouriMissing Fixture · Wrist Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.
  • M. CasadoMissing Fixture · Collarbone injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.
  • L. AmatucciMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 15 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Levante

Reported absences

  • H. SoteloMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.
  • A. PrimoMissing Fixture · Shoulder Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.
  • K. Etta EyongMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 18:54 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Deportivo La Coruna

5.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 14:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera División
Position 8
Points / played
10 / 8

Table source synced 15 Oct 2026 18:17 UTC.

Levante

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 12 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera División
Position 17
Points / played
6 / 7

Table source synced 15 Oct 2026 18:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Deportivo La Coruna 1–2 LevanteSegunda División · UTC
  2. Levante 2–1 Deportivo La CorunaSegunda División · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1570415
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
a443aaa7a916c23936b277fe5b0098a650ace3ad7d5767685cc76ca32d99e62c