Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 21:31 UTC. Source synced 19 Oct 2026 21:29 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 12 Oct 2026 19:08 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Getafe
WDDWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Getafe scored 7 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Getafe 1–0 MalagaLa Liga · UTC
Getafe 1–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga · UTC
Getafe 1–1 Celta VigoLa Liga · UTC
Getafe 1–0 Racing SantanderLa Liga · UTC
Getafe 3–1 FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
Away matches
Rayo Vallecano
DLLLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 15
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Rayo Vallecano scored 5 and conceded 15 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Osasuna 1–1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Barcelona 5–2 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Sevilla 2–1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Ipswich 3–0 Rayo VallecanoFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Getafe
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.95 / 2.39
xG per match, for / against
0.98 / 0.80
Goals on this same sample
3 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Getafe vs MalagaxG for / against Getafe: 0.95 / 0.52
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 20:25 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 20:25 UTC.
Getafe vs Deportivo La CorunaxG for / against Getafe: 0.78 / 0.87
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 07:39 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 07:39 UTC.
Getafe vs Racing SantanderxG for / against Getafe: 1.22 / 1.00
Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 19:43 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 19:43 UTC.
Away matches
Rayo Vallecano
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.30 / 8.28
xG per match, for / against
1.33 / 2.07
Goals on this same sample
5 / 12
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Osasuna vs Rayo VallecanoxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.01 / 0.53
Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC.
Real Madrid vs Rayo VallecanoxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.21 / 2.62
Statistics synced: team 28 Sep 2026 18:45 UTC; opponent 28 Sep 2026 18:45 UTC.
Barcelona vs Rayo VallecanoxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.08 / 2.83
Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 21:42 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 21:42 UTC.
Sevilla vs Rayo VallecanoxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 2.00 / 2.30
Statistics synced: team 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC; opponent 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Getafe
Reported absences
O. MangalaMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
JuanmiMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
E. UnalMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
I. AzonMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
Z. RomeroMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
C. UcheMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Rayo Vallecano
Reported absences
A. RatiuQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
A. BatallaMissing Fixture · Broken calfbone
Record synced 18 Oct 2026 14:25 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Getafe
4.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 16:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 15
Points / played
8 / 8
Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano
30.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 19 Sep 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 14
Points / played
8 / 7
Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Getafe 0–2 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 GetafeLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 1–0 GetafeLa Liga · UTC
Getafe 0–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 0–0 GetafeLa Liga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 18 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.