Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La CorunaMatch analysis
Scheduled kickoff: .
Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–0· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 21:21 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 21:19 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 17 Oct 2026 19:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Atletico Madrid
WWWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Atletico Madrid scored 12 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Atletico Madrid 2–0 Manchester UnitedUEFA Champions League · UTC
Atletico Madrid 2–1 Real MadridLa Liga · UTC
Atletico Madrid 4–0 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Atletico Madrid 2–2 VillarrealLa Liga · UTC
Atletico Madrid 2–0 MalagaLa Liga · UTC
Away matches
Deportivo La Coruna
LDWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Deportivo La Coruna scored 8 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga · UTC
Getafe 1–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga · UTC
Villarreal 2–3 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga · UTC
Malaga 1–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga · UTC
Genoa 0–1 Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Atletico Madrid
Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
9.28 / 5.07
xG per match, for / against
1.86 / 1.01
Goals on this same sample
12 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester UnitedxG for / against Atletico Madrid: 1.47 / 0.98
Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 18:25 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 18:25 UTC.
Atletico Madrid vs Real MadridxG for / against Atletico Madrid: 2.35 / 0.30
Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 02:55 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 02:55 UTC.
Atletico Madrid vs OsasunaxG for / against Atletico Madrid: 3.99 / 0.48
Statistics synced: team 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC; opponent 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC.
Atletico Madrid vs VillarrealxG for / against Atletico Madrid: 0.65 / 3.14
Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 17:14 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 17:14 UTC.
Atletico Madrid vs MalagaxG for / against Atletico Madrid: 0.82 / 0.17
Statistics synced: team 19 Aug 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 19 Aug 2026 21:13 UTC.
Away matches
Deportivo La Coruna
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.11 / 4.15
xG per match, for / against
1.37 / 1.38
Goals on this same sample
4 / 5
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La CorunaxG for / against Deportivo La Coruna: 2.13 / 1.44
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 16:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 16:35 UTC.
Getafe vs Deportivo La CorunaxG for / against Deportivo La Coruna: 0.87 / 0.78
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 07:39 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 07:39 UTC.
Malaga vs Deportivo La CorunaxG for / against Deportivo La Coruna: 1.11 / 1.93
Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 21:32 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 21:32 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Atletico Madrid
Reported absences
KokeMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
C. RomeroMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
J. CardosoMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Deportivo La Coruna
Reported absences
P. AubameyangMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
Z. EddahchouriMissing Fixture · Wrist Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
M. CasadoMissing Fixture · Collarbone injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
B. EdeMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
N. CarrilloMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:55 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Atletico Madrid
4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 20 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 2
Points / played
22 / 9
Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 18:17 UTC.
Deportivo La Coruna
8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 16 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 9
Points / played
11 / 9
Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 18:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Deportivo La Coruna 0–1 Atletico MadridCopa del Rey · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 23 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.