Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 0–3· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 21:21 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 21:19 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 17 Oct 2026 12:10 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Rayo Vallecano
WWDWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Rayo Vallecano scored 9 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 EspanyolLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing SantanderLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 2–0 VillarrealLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 GironaLa Liga · UTC
Away matches
Elche
DWDLD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Elche scored 7 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Villarreal 0–0 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
Espanyol 1–3 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
Athletic Club 1–1 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
Racing Santander 3–2 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Rayo Vallecano
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.51 / 5.17
xG per match, for / against
1.13 / 1.29
Goals on this same sample
6 / 3
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Rayo Vallecano vs EspanyolxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.52 / 1.49
Statistics synced: team 01 Oct 2026 05:56 UTC; opponent 01 Oct 2026 05:56 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano vs AlavesxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 0.40 / 1.82
Statistics synced: team 20 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC; opponent 20 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano vs VillarrealxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.53 / 1.00
Statistics synced: team 17 May 2026 20:56 UTC; opponent 17 May 2026 20:56 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano vs GironaxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.06 / 0.86
Statistics synced: team 11 May 2026 21:11 UTC; opponent 11 May 2026 21:11 UTC.
Away matches
Elche
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.32 / 3.66
xG per match, for / against
1.11 / 1.22
Goals on this same sample
4 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Villarreal vs ElchexG for / against Elche: 0.30 / 2.38
Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 12:19 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 12:19 UTC.
Espanyol vs ElchexG for / against Elche: 1.61 / 1.05
Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 20:47 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 20:47 UTC.
Deportivo La Coruna vs ElchexG for / against Elche: 1.41 / 0.23
Statistics synced: team 17 Aug 2026 21:13 UTC; opponent 17 Aug 2026 21:13 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Rayo Vallecano
Reported absences
A. RatiuQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 07:44 UTC.
Luiz FelipeMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 07:44 UTC.
A. BatallaMissing Fixture · Broken calfbone
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 07:44 UTC.
P. CissMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 07:44 UTC.
R. NtekaQuestionable · Back Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 07:44 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Elche
Reported absences
M. AguadoMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 07:44 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Rayo Vallecano
4.7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 19 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 14
Points / played
9 / 8
Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 11:14 UTC.
Elche
6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 14:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 18
Points / played
7 / 9
Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 11:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Rayo Vallecano 1–0 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
Elche 4–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Elche 4–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
Elche 2–1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 23 Oct 2026 12:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.