Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–0· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 27 Oct 2026 15:10 UTC. Source synced 26 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 19 Oct 2026 19:09 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Sevilla
LLWLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Sevilla scored 6 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Sevilla 1–3 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Sevilla 1–3 BarcelonaLa Liga · UTC
Sevilla 1–0 ValenciaLa Liga · UTC
Sevilla 1–3 Atletico MadridLa Liga · UTC
Sevilla 2–1 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Away matches
Osasuna
LLLWL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 17
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Osasuna scored 7 and conceded 17 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Real Betis 5–2 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Atletico Madrid 4–0 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Alaves 5–2 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Celta Vigo 1–2 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Napoli 2–1 OsasunaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Sevilla
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.66 / 6.40
xG per match, for / against
1.22 / 2.13
Goals on this same sample
4 / 7
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Sevilla vs BarcelonaxG for / against Sevilla: 0.40 / 3.47
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 10:36 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 10:36 UTC.
Sevilla vs Atletico MadridxG for / against Sevilla: 0.96 / 0.93
Statistics synced: team 29 Aug 2026 22:22 UTC; opponent 29 Aug 2026 22:22 UTC.
Sevilla vs Rayo VallecanoxG for / against Sevilla: 2.30 / 2.00
Statistics synced: team 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC; opponent 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC.
Away matches
Osasuna
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.10 / 7.01
xG per match, for / against
1.70 / 2.34
Goals on this same sample
4 / 10
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Real Betis vs OsasunaxG for / against Osasuna: 1.94 / 2.89
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 18:24 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 18:24 UTC.
Atletico Madrid vs OsasunaxG for / against Osasuna: 0.48 / 3.99
Statistics synced: team 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC; opponent 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC.
Celta Vigo vs OsasunaxG for / against Osasuna: 2.68 / 0.13
Statistics synced: team 27 Aug 2026 20:43 UTC; opponent 27 Aug 2026 20:43 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Sevilla
Reported absences
MarcaoMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
J. GuridiMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
L. StassinQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
M. SierraMissing Fixture · Shoulder Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
I. MunozMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Osasuna
Reported absences
R. Del CastilloMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
A. OrozMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
J. HerrandoMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
A. BonelMissing Fixture · Groin Injury
Record synced 24 Oct 2026 19:54 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Sevilla
8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 6
Points / played
14 / 9
Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC.
Osasuna
8.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 12
Points / played
11 / 9
Table source synced 25 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Osasuna 2–1 SevillaLa Liga · UTC
Sevilla 1–0 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Osasuna 1–0 SevillaLa Liga · UTC
Sevilla 1–1 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Sevilla 1–1 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 25 Oct 2026 20:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.