Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–0· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 01 Nov 2026 15:51 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 24 Oct 2026 14:38 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Rayo Vallecano
LWWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Rayo Vallecano scored 8 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Rayo Vallecano 0–3 ElcheLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 EspanyolLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Racing SantanderLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 2–0 VillarrealLa Liga · UTC
Away matches
Celta Vigo
WDLDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Celta Vigo scored 3 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Celtic 1–2 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League · UTC
Elche 0–0 Celta VigoLa Liga · UTC
Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta VigoUEFA Europa League · UTC
Getafe 1–1 Celta VigoLa Liga · UTC
Real Sociedad 0–0 Celta VigoLa Liga · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Rayo Vallecano
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.97 / 6.83
xG per match, for / against
1.24 / 1.71
Goals on this same sample
5 / 5
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Rayo Vallecano vs ElchexG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.52 / 2.52
Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 12:36 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 12:36 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano vs EspanyolxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.52 / 1.49
Statistics synced: team 01 Oct 2026 05:56 UTC; opponent 01 Oct 2026 05:56 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano vs AlavesxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 0.40 / 1.82
Statistics synced: team 20 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC; opponent 20 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC.
Rayo Vallecano vs VillarrealxG for / against Rayo Vallecano: 1.53 / 1.00
Statistics synced: team 17 May 2026 20:56 UTC; opponent 17 May 2026 20:56 UTC.
Away matches
Celta Vigo
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
3.00 / 1.66
xG per match, for / against
1.00 / 0.55
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Celtic vs Celta VigoxG for / against Celta Vigo: 1.36 / 0.56
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 23:35 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 23:35 UTC.
Elche vs Celta VigoxG for / against Celta Vigo: 0.47 / 0.78
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 12:14 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 12:14 UTC.
Omonia Nicosia vs Celta VigoxG for / against Celta Vigo: 1.17 / 0.32
Statistics synced: team 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC; opponent 01 Oct 2026 14:37 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Rayo Vallecano
Reported absences
A. RatiuQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
Luiz FelipeMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
A. BatallaMissing Fixture · Broken calfbone
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
P. CissMissing Fixture · Yellow Cards
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Celta Vigo
Reported absences
B. IglesiasMissing Fixture · Calf Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
C. StarfeltMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
A. NunezMissing Fixture · Groin Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
M. RomanMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
J. El AbdellaouiMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Rayo Vallecano
3.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Oct 2026 20:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 16
Points / played
9 / 9
Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 15:17 UTC.
Celta Vigo
6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 15:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera División
Position 9
Points / played
12 / 10
Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 15:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Celta Vigo 3–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta VigoLa Liga · UTC
Celta Vigo 1–2 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Celta VigoLa Liga · UTC
Celta Vigo 0–0 Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 30 Oct 2026 15:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.