La Liga · 06 Nov 2026

Sevilla vs AlavesMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 30 Oct 2026 20:08 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Sevilla

WLLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Sevilla scored 6 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Sevilla 2–0 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
  2. Sevilla 1–3 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Sevilla 1–3 BarcelonaLa Liga · UTC
  4. Sevilla 1–0 ValenciaLa Liga · UTC
  5. Sevilla 1–3 Atletico MadridLa Liga · UTC

Away matches

Alaves

LLDLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Alaves scored 4 and conceded 11 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Barcelona 6–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
  2. Celta Vigo 2–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
  3. Athletic Club 0–0 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
  4. Racing Santander 2–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
  5. Rayo Vallecano 1–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Sevilla

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.56 / 5.03
xG per match, for / against
0.85 / 1.68
Goals on this same sample
4 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Sevilla vs Osasuna xG for / against Sevilla: 1.20 / 0.63 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 07:06 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 07:06 UTC.
  2. Sevilla vs Barcelona xG for / against Sevilla: 0.40 / 3.47 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 10:36 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 10:36 UTC.
  3. Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid xG for / against Sevilla: 0.96 / 0.93 Statistics synced: team 29 Aug 2026 22:22 UTC; opponent 29 Aug 2026 22:22 UTC.

Away matches

Alaves

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.71 / 6.29
xG per match, for / against
0.93 / 1.57
Goals on this same sample
3 / 9

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Barcelona vs Alaves xG for / against Alaves: 0.78 / 3.30 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 23:06 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 23:06 UTC.
  2. Celta Vigo vs Alaves xG for / against Alaves: 1.06 / 0.97 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC.
  3. Athletic Club vs Alaves xG for / against Alaves: 0.05 / 1.62 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 04:05 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 04:05 UTC.
  4. Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves xG for / against Alaves: 1.82 / 0.40 Statistics synced: team 20 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC; opponent 20 Aug 2026 21:14 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Sevilla

Reported absences

  • MarcaoMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 05 Nov 2026 19:05 UTC.
  • PequeMissing Fixture · Hamstring Injury Record synced 05 Nov 2026 19:05 UTC.
  • I. RomeroQuestionable · Knee Injury Record synced 05 Nov 2026 19:05 UTC.
  • M. BuenoMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 05 Nov 2026 19:05 UTC.
  • M. SierraQuestionable · Shoulder Injury Record synced 05 Nov 2026 19:05 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Alaves

Reported absences

  • M. RodriguezMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 05 Nov 2026 19:05 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Sevilla

5.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera División
Position 6
Points / played
17 / 11

Table source synced 05 Nov 2026 19:14 UTC.

Alaves

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 31 Oct 2026 20:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera División
Position 11
Points / played
12 / 11

Table source synced 05 Nov 2026 19:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Sevilla 1–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
  2. Alaves 1–0 SevillaCopa del Rey · UTC
  3. Alaves 1–2 SevillaLa Liga · UTC
  4. Sevilla 1–1 AlavesLa Liga · UTC
  5. Alaves 2–1 SevillaLa Liga · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 05 Nov 2026 20:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1570450
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
773ef92781e43b1cb0ff48b38fa8df5a6121053d061ca12656a2ffbf96751b85