Bundesliga · 16 Oct 2026

Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC KölnMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 16 Oct 2026 22:50 UTC. Source synced 16 Oct 2026 22:49 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 09 Oct 2026 18:38 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Eintracht Frankfurt

WDLWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Eintracht Frankfurt scored 11 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 Eintracht BraunschweigFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC FreiburgBundesliga · UTC
  3. Eintracht Frankfurt 1–4 FC AugsburgBundesliga · UTC
  4. Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  5. Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga · UTC

Away matches

1. FC Köln

DLLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
14 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

1. FC Köln scored 14 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. FC Viktoria Köln 2–2 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  2. Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC KölnBundesliga · UTC
  3. VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC KölnBundesliga · UTC
  4. Würzburger Kickers 1–2 1. FC KölnDFB Pokal · UTC
  5. Bergisch Gladbach 0–8 1. FC KölnFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Eintracht Frankfurt

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.73 / 4.20
xG per match, for / against
2.37 / 2.10
Goals on this same sample
4 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg xG for / against Eintracht Frankfurt: 2.18 / 3.09 Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC.
  2. Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart xG for / against Eintracht Frankfurt: 2.55 / 1.11 Statistics synced: team 16 May 2026 18:25 UTC; opponent 16 May 2026 18:25 UTC.

Away matches

1. FC Köln

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.41 / 1.45
xG per match, for / against
1.41 / 1.45
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln xG for / against 1. FC Köln: 1.41 / 1.45 Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Reported absences

  • J. NgankamQuestionable · Hamstring Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.
  • J. MaluzeMissing Fixture · Illness Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.
  • M. PimpongMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

1. FC Köln

Reported absences

  • A. Castro-MontesMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.
  • E. SkhiriQuestionable · Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.
  • R. AcheMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.
  • T. HubersMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.
  • T. DallingaMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 15 Oct 2026 12:44 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Eintracht Frankfurt

6.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 14
Points / played
5 / 5

Table source synced 15 Oct 2026 18:17 UTC.

1. FC Köln

5.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 13:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 10
Points / played
7 / 5

Table source synced 15 Oct 2026 18:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 1. FC KölnBundesliga · UTC
  2. 1. FC Köln 3–4 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · UTC
  3. 1. FC Köln 2–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · UTC
  4. Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 1. FC KölnBundesliga · UTC
  5. 1. FC Köln 3–0 Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 15 Oct 2026 18:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1575187
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
22f447642d35c66d32e13543e8787416d6faaa59166161ece570d28281d81e3a