Bundesliga · 18 Oct 2026

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 HoffenheimMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 19 Oct 2026 06:01 UTC. Source synced 18 Oct 2026 20:44 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 11 Oct 2026 15:38 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Borussia Mönchengladbach scored 13 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga · UTC
  2. Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 SV ElversbergBundesliga · UTC
  3. Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 Aston VillaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · UTC
  5. Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga · UTC

Away matches

1899 Hoffenheim

LLLWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

1899 Hoffenheim scored 9 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. SC Paderborn 07 3–1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · UTC
  2. OFI 2–0 1899 HoffenheimUEFA Europa League · UTC
  3. 1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · UTC
  4. Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 1899 HoffenheimDFB Pokal · UTC
  5. Tottenham 2–2 1899 HoffenheimFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.14 / 4.61
xG per match, for / against
2.05 / 1.54
Goals on this same sample
8 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 xG for / against Borussia Mönchengladbach: 3.24 / 2.82 Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC.
  2. Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim xG for / against Borussia Mönchengladbach: 0.80 / 1.31 Statistics synced: team 16 May 2026 15:58 UTC; opponent 16 May 2026 15:58 UTC.
  3. Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund xG for / against Borussia Mönchengladbach: 2.10 / 0.48 Statistics synced: team 03 May 2026 19:13 UTC; opponent 03 May 2026 19:13 UTC.

Away matches

1899 Hoffenheim

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.50 / 0.68
xG per match, for / against
1.50 / 0.68
Goals on this same sample
1 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim xG for / against 1899 Hoffenheim: 1.50 / 0.68 Statistics synced: team 06 Oct 2026 05:55 UTC; opponent 06 Oct 2026 05:55 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Reported absences

  • F. HonoratMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • T. KleindienstMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • K. ItakuraMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • N. KuhnQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • E. LeopoldMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • J. CastropMissing Fixture · Shoulder Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • J. LeszczynskiMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • F. FleckMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

1899 Hoffenheim

Reported absences

  • BernardoMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • P. WimmerMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.
  • A. HajdariMissing Fixture · Foot Injury Record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:44 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Borussia Mönchengladbach

7.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 13:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 18
Points / played
0 / 5

Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.

1899 Hoffenheim

2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 15 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 17
Points / played
3 / 5

Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 15:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · UTC
  2. 1899 Hoffenheim 5–1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
  3. Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–4 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · UTC
  4. 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
  5. 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 Borussia MonchengladbachBundesliga · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 15:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1575189
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
4d3000455693e3a5b3680195168935b74f4b0538d523b799de6234b385ff995b