Bundesliga · 23 Oct 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia MönchengladbachMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 2–3 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 03:10 UTC. Source synced 23 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 16 Oct 2026 18:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

VfB Stuttgart

DWWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

VfB Stuttgart scored 12 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atletico MadridUEFA Champions League · UTC
  2. VfB Stuttgart 5–0 SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. VfB Stuttgart 3–0 1. FC HeidenheimFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga · UTC
  5. VfB Stuttgart 3–1 VikingUEFA Champions League · UTC

Away matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LDLLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Borussia Mönchengladbach scored 7 and conceded 11 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. 1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
  2. FC St. Pauli 1–1 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. SC Freiburg 5–0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
  4. RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
  5. Schott Mainz 0–5 Borussia MönchengladbachDFB Pokal · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

VfB Stuttgart

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.50 / 2.25
xG per match, for / against
1.25 / 1.13
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid xG for / against VfB Stuttgart: 1.63 / 0.91 Statistics synced: team 21 Oct 2026 19:25 UTC; opponent 21 Oct 2026 19:25 UTC.
  2. VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund xG for / against VfB Stuttgart: 0.87 / 1.34 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 07:15 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 07:15 UTC.

Away matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.17 / 1.32
xG per match, for / against
1.17 / 1.32
Goals on this same sample
1 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach xG for / against Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1.17 / 1.32 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 15:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 15:35 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

VfB Stuttgart

Reported absences

  • D. ZagadouQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • J. VagnomanQuestionable · Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • T. TomasQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • J. DiehlMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Reported absences

  • F. HonoratQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • T. KleindienstMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • K. ItakuraQuestionable · Ankle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • N. KuhnQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • I. LidbergQuestionable · Thigh Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • E. LeopoldMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • J. LeszczynskiMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.
  • F. FleckMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury Record synced 22 Oct 2026 12:34 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

VfB Stuttgart

3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 20 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 13
Points / played
6 / 6

Table source synced 22 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

5.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 15:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 18
Points / played
0 / 6

Table source synced 22 Oct 2026 18:14 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga · UTC
  2. VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
  3. VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
  4. Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga · UTC
  5. VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Borussia MonchengladbachBundesliga · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 22 Oct 2026 18:31 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1575196
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
39ef925ecdd8c15687d1358247f66a3f1e6e6d74683fbe5aca6290fa2a748c5f