Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 22:01 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 21:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 17 Oct 2026 13:39 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
FC Augsburg
DDDWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
FC Augsburg scored 12 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga · UTC
FC Augsburg 2–2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs · UTC
FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga · UTC
FC Augsburg 3–2 SassuoloFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
Union Berlin
LLWLL
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 17
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Union Berlin scored 6 and conceded 17 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Bayern München 7–0 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
Eintracht Braunschweig 2–4 Union BerlinDFB Pokal · UTC
Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Union BerlinFriendlies Clubs · UTC
FC Aarau 2–1 Union BerlinFriendlies Clubs · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
FC Augsburg
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.37 / 4.96
xG per match, for / against
2.37 / 4.96
Goals on this same sample
2 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
FC Augsburg vs Bayern MünchenxG for / against FC Augsburg: 2.37 / 4.96
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC.
Away matches
Union Berlin
Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
0.34 / 3.71
xG per match, for / against
0.34 / 3.71
Goals on this same sample
0 / 7
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Bayern München vs Union BerlinxG for / against Union Berlin: 0.34 / 3.71
Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
FC Augsburg
Reported absences
S. MounieMissing Fixture · Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
A. Claude-MauriceMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
N. BanksMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Union Berlin
Reported absences
S. NsokiQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
O. BurkeQuestionable · Illness
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
J. JuranovicQuestionable · Achilles Tendon Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
A. IlicQuestionable · Illness
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
A. MarkgrafMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
L. BurcuQuestionable · Illness
Record synced 23 Oct 2026 08:44 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
FC Augsburg
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 13:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 10
Points / played
8 / 6
Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
Union Berlin
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 13:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 17
Points / played
5 / 6
Table source synced 23 Oct 2026 13:14 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Union Berlin 4–0 FC AugsburgBundesliga · UTC
FC Augsburg 1–1 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
FC Augsburg 1–2 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
Union Berlin 0–2 FC AugsburgBundesliga · UTC
FC Augsburg 2–0 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 23 Oct 2026 13:31 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.