Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–2· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 01 Nov 2026 16:50 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 24 Oct 2026 16:39 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Bayern München
WDWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
26 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Bayern München scored 26 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Bayern München 6–1 1. FC MagdeburgDFB Pokal · UTC
Bayern München 2–2 ArsenalUEFA Champions League · UTC
Bayern München 6–1 RB LeipzigBundesliga · UTC
Bayern München 7–0 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
Bayern München 5–0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League · UTC
Away matches
Borussia Dortmund
WDLWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Borussia Dortmund scored 6 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Sabah FA 1–2 Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League · UTC
Union Berlin 0–0 Borussia DortmundBundesliga · UTC
Bodo/Glimt 1–0 Borussia DortmundUEFA Champions League · UTC
VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga · UTC
1899 Hoffenheim 2–3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Bayern München
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
13.63 / 3.77
xG per match, for / against
3.41 / 0.94
Goals on this same sample
21 / 4
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Bayern München vs 1. FC MagdeburgxG for / against Bayern München: 4.02 / 0.88
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 19:55 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 19:55 UTC.
Bayern München vs ArsenalxG for / against Bayern München: 2.50 / 1.71
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC.
Bayern München vs RB LeipzigxG for / against Bayern München: 3.40 / 0.84
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC.
Bayern München vs Union BerlinxG for / against Bayern München: 3.71 / 0.34
Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC.
Away matches
Borussia Dortmund
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
7.03 / 4.40
xG per match, for / against
1.76 / 1.10
Goals on this same sample
3 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Sabah FA vs Borussia DortmundxG for / against Borussia Dortmund: 3.75 / 1.53
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 01:24 UTC.
Union Berlin vs Borussia DortmundxG for / against Borussia Dortmund: 1.09 / 0.80
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 04:25 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 04:25 UTC.
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia DortmundxG for / against Borussia Dortmund: 0.85 / 1.20
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC.
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia DortmundxG for / against Borussia Dortmund: 1.34 / 0.87
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 07:15 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 07:15 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Bayern München
Reported absences
M. NeuerQuestionable · Foot Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
L. DiazMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
J. MusialaQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
T. BuchmannMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Borussia Dortmund
Reported absences
E. CanMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
G. KonstanteliasMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
K. KaretsasQuestionable · Ankle Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
J. LermaMissing Fixture · Muscle Injury
Record synced 30 Oct 2026 13:15 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Bayern München
2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 1
Points / played
17 / 7
Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 17:17 UTC.
Borussia Dortmund
3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 2
Points / played
17 / 7
Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 17:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Borussia Dortmund 1–2 Bayern MünchenSuper Cup · UTC
Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayern MünchenBundesliga · UTC
Bayern München 2–1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga · UTC
Bayern München 2–2 Borussia DortmundBundesliga · UTC
Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Bayern MünchenBundesliga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 30 Oct 2026 17:31 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.