Bundesliga · 31 Oct 2026

FC Augsburg vs SC FreiburgMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 01 Nov 2026 16:50 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 24 Oct 2026 13:39 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

FC Augsburg

DDDDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

FC Augsburg scored 10 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. FC Augsburg 1–1 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
  2. FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga · UTC
  3. FC Augsburg 2–2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
  5. FC Augsburg 3–0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga · UTC

Away matches

SC Freiburg

LLDWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

SC Freiburg scored 9 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Monaco 3–0 SC FreiburgUEFA Europa Conference League · UTC
  2. Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC FreiburgBundesliga · UTC
  3. Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC FreiburgBundesliga · UTC
  4. SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SC FreiburgBundesliga · UTC
  5. Fortuna Düsseldorf 1–5 SC FreiburgDFB Pokal · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

FC Augsburg

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.28 / 6.20
xG per match, for / against
2.14 / 3.10
Goals on this same sample
3 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin xG for / against FC Augsburg: 1.91 / 1.24 Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 16:54 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 16:54 UTC.
  2. FC Augsburg vs Bayern München xG for / against FC Augsburg: 2.37 / 4.96 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC.

Away matches

SC Freiburg

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.13 / 5.07
xG per match, for / against
1.71 / 1.69
Goals on this same sample
3 / 7

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Monaco vs SC Freiburg xG for / against SC Freiburg: 0.83 / 1.25 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 01:20 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 01:20 UTC.
  2. Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg xG for / against SC Freiburg: 1.21 / 1.64 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 18:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 18:15 UTC.
  3. Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg xG for / against SC Freiburg: 3.09 / 2.18 Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

FC Augsburg

Reported absences

  • S. MounieMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 29 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • A. Claude-MauriceQuestionable · Muscle Injury Record synced 29 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • C. BrackelmannQuestionable · Concussion Record synced 29 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • N. BanksMissing Fixture · Knee Injury Record synced 29 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.
  • J. BahMissing Fixture · Red Card Record synced 29 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

SC Freiburg

Reported absences

  • B. YilmazQuestionable · Lacking Match Fitness Record synced 29 Oct 2026 14:24 UTC. This record was collected over 24 hours before publication.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

FC Augsburg

3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 27 Oct 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 9
Points / played
9 / 7

Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 14:17 UTC.

SC Freiburg

2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 28 Oct 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Bundesliga
Position 3
Points / played
13 / 7

Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 14:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. FC Augsburg 2–2 SC FreiburgBundesliga · UTC
  2. SC Freiburg 1–3 FC AugsburgBundesliga · UTC
  3. FC Augsburg 0–0 SC FreiburgBundesliga · UTC
  4. SC Freiburg 3–1 FC AugsburgBundesliga · UTC
  5. FC Augsburg 2–1 SC FreiburgBundesliga · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 30 Oct 2026 14:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1575206
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
e6da068899ad9b760b52856626f67b195c93963fa83810eb035852b6f91eb05a