Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 4–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 31 Oct 2026 14:11 UTC. Source synced 30 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 23 Oct 2026 18:37 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
SV Elversberg
LWLWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
SV Elversberg scored 12 and conceded 10 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
SV Elversberg 0–2 SV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal · UTC
SV Elversberg 4–3 FC AugsburgBundesliga · UTC
SV Elversberg 1–2 Bayern MünchenBundesliga · UTC
SV Elversberg 3–2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
SV Elversberg 4–1 LorientFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
FSV Mainz 05
LWWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%
FSV Mainz 05 scored 13 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
VfL Bochum 2–0 FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal · UTC
FC Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga · UTC
Waldhof Mannheim 0–3 FSV Mainz 05Friendlies Clubs · UTC
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga · UTC
Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
SV Elversberg
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
6.41 / 7.29
xG per match, for / against
2.14 / 2.43
Goals on this same sample
5 / 7
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98xG for / against SV Elversberg: 1.69 / 0.54
Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 20:25 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 20:25 UTC.
SV Elversberg vs FC AugsburgxG for / against SV Elversberg: 3.78 / 3.92
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 04:25 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 04:25 UTC.
SV Elversberg vs Bayern MünchenxG for / against SV Elversberg: 0.94 / 2.83
Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 07:00 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 07:00 UTC.
Away matches
FSV Mainz 05
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.28 / 5.11
xG per match, for / against
1.76 / 1.70
Goals on this same sample
5 / 5
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05xG for / against FSV Mainz 05: 0.52 / 1.44
Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 17:05 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 17:05 UTC.
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05xG for / against FSV Mainz 05: 1.94 / 0.43
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 04:25 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 04:25 UTC.
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05xG for / against FSV Mainz 05: 2.82 / 3.24
Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 08:25 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
SV Elversberg
Reported absences
J. GyamerahQuestionable · Thigh Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
L. GuntherQuestionable · Knock
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
T. ZimmerschiedMissing Fixture · Ankle Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
L. PinckertQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
N. DarvichQuestionable · Hamstring Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
L. SeifertQuestionable · Ankle Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
FSV Mainz 05
Reported absences
N. AmiriQuestionable · Knee Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
D. KohrMissing Fixture · Foot Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
SilasMissing Fixture · Broken shinbone
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
O. RuoppiQuestionable · Knee Injury
Record synced 29 Oct 2026 19:04 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
SV Elversberg
3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 8
Points / played
10 / 7
Table source synced 29 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC.
FSV Mainz 05
3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Oct 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 7
Points / played
10 / 7
Table source synced 29 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
SV Elversberg 0–1 FSV Mainz 05DFB Pokal · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 29 Oct 2026 19:31 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.