Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.
Recorded match result
Result pending — kickoff has not passed.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 01 Nov 2026 14:38 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
1. FC Köln
WDWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
1. FC Köln scored 11 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
1. FC Köln 5–0 Union BerlinDFB Pokal · UTC
1. FC Köln 0–0 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga · UTC
1. FC Köln 2–1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga · UTC
1. FC Köln 1–1 Werder BremenBundesliga · UTC
1. FC Köln 3–2 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga · UTC
Away matches
Bayer Leverkusen
LWWWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Bayer Leverkusen scored 12 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
OFI 0–2 Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League · UTC
Lech Poznan 0–4 Bayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League · UTC
FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
FC Augsburg 2–2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
1. FC Köln
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.60 / 2.88
xG per match, for / against
1.87 / 0.96
Goals on this same sample
7 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
1. FC Köln vs Union BerlinxG for / against 1. FC Köln: 3.04 / 1.10
Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 23:05 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 23:05 UTC.
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04xG for / against 1. FC Köln: 1.24 / 0.61
Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 06:35 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 06:35 UTC.
1. FC Köln vs Borussia MönchengladbachxG for / against 1. FC Köln: 1.32 / 1.17
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 15:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 15:35 UTC.
Away matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
11.30 / 7.44
xG per match, for / against
2.82 / 1.86
Goals on this same sample
10 / 6
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer LeverkusenxG for / against Bayer Leverkusen: 0.57 / 3.46
Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 21:21 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 21:21 UTC.
OFI vs Bayer LeverkusenxG for / against Bayer Leverkusen: 3.42 / 0.28
Statistics synced: team 05 Nov 2026 17:35 UTC; opponent 05 Nov 2026 17:35 UTC.
Lech Poznan vs Bayer LeverkusenxG for / against Bayer Leverkusen: 5.22 / 0.57
Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 22:35 UTC.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer LeverkusenxG for / against Bayer Leverkusen: 2.09 / 3.13
Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
1. FC Köln
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Bayer Leverkusen
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
1. FC Köln
7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 14:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 14
Points / played
9 / 8
Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 14:17 UTC.
Bayer Leverkusen
2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 05 Nov 2026 20:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Bundesliga
Position 6
Points / played
13 / 8
Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 14:17 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
1. FC Köln 1–2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC KölnBundesliga · UTC
1. FC Köln 0–2 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga · UTC
Bayer Leverkusen 3–0 1. FC KölnBundesliga · UTC
Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1. FC KölnBundesliga · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Nov 2026 14:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.