Primeira Liga · 24 Oct 2026

GIL Vicente vs FC PortoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 22:10 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 22:09 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

GIL Vicente

DLWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
0/5 0%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

GIL Vicente scored 5 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. GIL Vicente 1–1 MaritimoPrimeira Liga · UTC
  2. GIL Vicente 0–1 Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga · UTC
  3. GIL Vicente 2–0 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga · UTC
  4. GIL Vicente 1–0 Rio AvePrimeira Liga · UTC
  5. GIL Vicente 1–1 Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

FC Porto

LWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
14 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

FC Porto scored 14 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Real Betis 3–2 FC PortoUEFA Champions League · UTC
  2. Maritimo 1–2 FC PortoPrimeira Liga · UTC
  3. Deportivo La Coruna 1–3 FC PortoFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. Casa Pia 1–4 FC PortoPrimeira Liga · UTC
  5. Academico Viseu 0–3 FC PortoPrimeira Liga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

GIL Vicente

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.09 / 1.07
xG per match, for / against
1.55 / 0.54
Goals on this same sample
3 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia xG for / against GIL Vicente: 1.61 / 0.76 Statistics synced: team 24 Aug 2026 21:22 UTC; opponent 24 Aug 2026 21:22 UTC.
  2. GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave xG for / against GIL Vicente: 1.48 / 0.31 Statistics synced: team 09 Aug 2026 21:43 UTC; opponent 09 Aug 2026 21:43 UTC.

Away matches

FC Porto

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.15 / 1.95
xG per match, for / against
1.58 / 0.98
Goals on this same sample
4 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Real Betis vs FC Porto xG for / against FC Porto: 1.02 / 1.76 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 08:35 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 08:35 UTC.
  2. Maritimo vs FC Porto xG for / against FC Porto: 2.13 / 0.19 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

GIL Vicente

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

FC Porto

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

GIL Vicente

5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 19 Oct 2026 19:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primeira Liga
Position 6
Points / played
14 / 8

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

FC Porto

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 20 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primeira Liga
Position 1
Points / played
24 / 8

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 06:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1575521
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
05e699c65de19bfef68906696911ce7ed7e15cadd90ed47a6920c6f62142a011