2. Bundesliga · 07 Nov 2026

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia BielefeldMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Holstein Kiel

WDWDD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Holstein Kiel scored 9 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Holstein Kiel 3–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga · UTC
  2. Holstein Kiel 0–0 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga · UTC
  3. Holstein Kiel 3–1 ViborgFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  4. Holstein Kiel 1–1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga · UTC
  5. Holstein Kiel 2–2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga · UTC

Away matches

Arminia Bielefeld

LWLLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Arminia Bielefeld scored 4 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Hertha BSC 1–0 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga · UTC
  2. VfL Bochum 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga · UTC
  3. SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga · UTC
  4. 1. FC Nürnberg 4–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga · UTC
  5. Karlsruher SC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Holstein Kiel

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.99 / 5.46
xG per match, for / against
1.33 / 1.82
Goals on this same sample
4 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden xG for / against Holstein Kiel: 1.38 / 1.98 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
  2. Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC xG for / against Holstein Kiel: 0.51 / 1.66 Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 16:54 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 16:54 UTC.
  3. Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück xG for / against Holstein Kiel: 2.10 / 1.82 Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 01:44 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 01:44 UTC.

Away matches

Arminia Bielefeld

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.19 / 3.51
xG per match, for / against
1.06 / 1.17
Goals on this same sample
2 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld xG for / against Arminia Bielefeld: 0.31 / 1.90 Statistics synced: team 03 Nov 2026 01:35 UTC; opponent 03 Nov 2026 01:35 UTC.
  2. VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld xG for / against Arminia Bielefeld: 1.69 / 0.67 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 11:54 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 11:54 UTC.
  3. 1. FC Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld xG for / against Arminia Bielefeld: 1.19 / 0.94 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 04:19 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 04:19 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Holstein Kiel

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Arminia Bielefeld

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Holstein Kiel

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 12:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

2. Bundesliga
Position 18
Points / played
8 / 10

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 00:16 UTC.

Arminia Bielefeld

7.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 Oct 2026 17:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

2. Bundesliga
Position 7
Points / played
14 / 10

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 00:16 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Nov 2026 01:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1576228
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
eed082eaca4aae1981405cddca229db72119eee2949676f283630a2542b87fa3