FAW Championship · 24 Oct 2026

Swansea University vs Treowen StarsMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Source status: PST · no confirmed regulation-time result

Result record v1 · recorded 24 Oct 2026 23:01 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 22:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Swansea University

WWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
4 matches
Goals scored / conceded
14 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
4/4 100%
BTTS frequency
2/4 50%

Swansea University scored 14 and conceded 5 across these 4 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Swansea University 3–1 Caerphilly AthleticFAW Championship · UTC
  2. Swansea University 4–0 Pontardawe TownFAW Championship · UTC
  3. Swansea University 4–4 Pontypridd TownFAW Championship · UTC
  4. Swansea University 3–0 llanelli AFCFAW Championship · UTC

Away matches

Treowen Stars

LWLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 12
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Treowen Stars scored 11 and conceded 12 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Pontardawe Town 6–1 Treowen StarsFAW Championship · UTC
  2. llanelli AFC 0–2 Treowen StarsFAW Championship · UTC
  3. Caerau (Ely) 3–2 Treowen StarsFAW Championship · UTC
  4. Carmarthen Town 2–4 Treowen StarsFAW Championship · UTC
  5. Aberystwyth Town 1–2 Treowen StarsFAW Championship · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Swansea University

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 4 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Treowen Stars

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Swansea University

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Treowen Stars

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Swansea University

14.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 09 Oct 2026 18:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

South
Position 1
Points / played
21 / 9

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 02:20 UTC.

Treowen Stars

14 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 13:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

South
Position 11
Points / played
13 / 10

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 02:20 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 03:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1580781
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
838297feccf07a338c11b7f83bcab9e8b545c38cac790663c1c661c1d6bd6ba6