Second League A - Division A Silver · 17 Oct 2026

Dinamo Moskva II vs Torpedo MiassMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 2–2 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 18 Oct 2026 00:50 UTC. Source synced 17 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 1H Initial source observation · 17 Oct 2026 11:21 UTC Source synced 17 Oct 2026 11:21 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 2–2 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 18 Oct 2026 00:50 UTC Source synced 17 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.515 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Draw. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v2. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 17 Oct 2026 00:45 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Dinamo Moskva II

LLWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Dinamo Moskva II scored 3 and conceded 11 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Dinamo Moskva II 2–3 Dinamo StavropolSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  2. Dinamo Moskva II 0–3 Zenit 2Second League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  3. Dinamo Moskva II 1–0 Irtysh OmskSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  4. Dinamo Moskva II 0–3 AmkarSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  5. Dinamo Moskva II 0–2 TyumenSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC

Away matches

Torpedo Miass

WLWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Torpedo Miass scored 9 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Amkar 1–2 Torpedo MiassSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  2. Zenit 2 2–0 Torpedo MiassSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  3. Dinamo Stavropol 1–2 Torpedo MiassSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  4. Tyumen 4–3 Torpedo MiassSecond League A - Division A Silver · UTC
  5. Izhevsk 1–2 Torpedo MiassCup · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Dinamo Moskva II

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Torpedo Miass

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Dinamo Moskva II

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Torpedo Miass

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Dinamo Moskva II

3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 14 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

FNL 2 Division A: Division A Silver
Position 7
Points / played
7 / 11

Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 00:26 UTC.

Torpedo Miass

7.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 09:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

FNL 2 Division A: Division A Silver
Position 4
Points / played
18 / 11

Table source synced 17 Oct 2026 00:26 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 00:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1583942
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
d55f27638165f5b6d8d41e157fe6f18956b1c3b8f694e8f917f814e56e9308a8