3. Lig - Group 1 · 24 Oct 2026

Amasyaspor 1968 vs Orduspor 1967Match analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–3 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 25 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.667 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Away win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

Provider rounding was adjusted for scoring only by dividing each probability by their total. Displayed and stored percentages remain unchanged.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
33%
Draw
33%
Away win
33%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 24 Oct 2026 00:59 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Amasyaspor 1968

WDWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
16 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Amasyaspor 1968 scored 16 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Amasyaspor 1968 2–1 Silivrispor3. Lig - Group 1 · UTC
  2. Amasyaspor 1968 2–2 Kartal Bulvarspor3. Lig - Group 1 · UTC
  3. Amasyaspor 1968 10–0 Away teamTürkiye Kupası · UTC
  4. Amasyaspor 1968 1–0 Gölcükspor3. Lig - Group 1 · UTC
  5. Amasyaspor 1968 1–0 Fatsa Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3 · UTC

Away matches

Orduspor 1967

DWDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Orduspor 1967 scored 7 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Kartal Bulvarspor 2–2 Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 1 · UTC
  2. Gölcükspor 0–1 Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 1 · UTC
  3. Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–1 Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 1 · UTC
  4. Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 5–3 Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 3 · UTC
  5. Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 2–0 Orduspor 19673. Lig - Group 3 · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Amasyaspor 1968

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Orduspor 1967

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Amasyaspor 1968

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Orduspor 1967

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Amasyaspor 1968

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

3. Lig Group 1
Position 6
Points / played
12 / 7

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.

Orduspor 1967

6.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

3. Lig Group 1
Position 9
Points / played
9 / 7

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 01:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1590432
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
ebf307894e1ac7033e090892aefc53723c1eb786133a9b210e45ea12e66f6e96