3. Lig - Group 3 · 03 Oct 2026

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu vs Yeni Mersin IdmanyurduMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–0 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 03 Oct 2026 15:50 UTC. Source synced 03 Oct 2026 15:46 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · HT Initial source observation · 03 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC Source synced 03 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC · source kickoff 03 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 3–0 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 03 Oct 2026 15:50 UTC Source synced 03 Oct 2026 15:46 UTC · source kickoff 03 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 1.215 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Home win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v2. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 03 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

DLLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu scored 7 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 0–0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor3. Lig - Group 3 · UTC
  2. Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 0–3 Kırşehir BelediyesporTürkiye Kupası · UTC
  3. Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 1–3 Karaköprü Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 3 · UTC
  4. Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 3–2 Karaköprü Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 2 · UTC
  5. Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 3–1 Osmaniyespor3. Lig - Group 2 · UTC

Away matches

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

WLLLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu scored 3 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Ağrı 1970 0–1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu3. Lig - Group 3 · UTC
  2. Talasgücü Belediyespor 2–1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu3. Lig - Group 3 · UTC
  3. Güzide Gebzespor 3–0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu2. Lig · UTC
  4. Bursaspor 3–0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu2. Lig · UTC
  5. Kırklarelispor 1–1 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu2. Lig · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 27 Sep 2026 12:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

3. Lig Group 3
Position 15
Points / played
1 / 4

Table source synced 03 Oct 2026 00:38 UTC.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

5.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 27 Sep 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

3. Lig Group 3
Position 9
Points / played
6 / 4

Table source synced 03 Oct 2026 00:38 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 0–0 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu3. Lig - Group 3 · UTC
  2. Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0–0 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu3. Lig - Group 3 · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 03 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1591021
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
1e55a1e863c68b2a24d4057e4e11e4d94a32d08ded36c5ef22cb41865d66e062