Liga MX U21 · 30 Oct 2026

Puebla U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21Match analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Source status: PEN · no confirmed regulation-time result

Result record v2 · recorded 31 Oct 2026 17:41 UTC. Source synced 30 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 30 Oct 2026 16:50 UTC Source synced 30 Oct 2026 16:50 UTC · source kickoff 30 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC
  2. v2 · PEN Source status, score or kickoff changed · 31 Oct 2026 17:41 UTC Source synced 30 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC · source kickoff 30 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
33%
Draw
33%
Away win
33%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 30 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 29 Oct 2026 21:30 UTC; synced 30 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC. Saved 30 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
2.41
Without margin
38.39%
Provider estimate
33.00%
Provider − market
-5.39 pp

Draw

Decimal odds
3.24
Without margin
28.56%
Provider estimate
33.00%
Provider − market
+4.44 pp

Away win

Decimal odds
2.8
Without margin
33.05%
Provider estimate
33.00%
Provider − market
-0.05 pp

Raw implied probability total: 108.07%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Puebla U21

LLWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Puebla U21 scored 4 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Puebla U21 1–2 Club Leon U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  2. Puebla U21 0–2 Juarez U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  3. Puebla U21 3–2 Necaxa U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  4. Puebla U21 0–1 Tigres UANL U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  5. Puebla U21 0–1 Cruz Azul U21Liga MX U21 · UTC

Away matches

UNAM Pumas U21

WWLLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

UNAM Pumas U21 scored 6 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Atlante U21 0–2 UNAM Pumas U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  2. Atlas U21 1–2 UNAM Pumas U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  3. Club Tijuana U21 2–1 UNAM Pumas U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  4. Juarez U21 1–0 UNAM Pumas U21Liga MX U21 · UTC
  5. Toluca U21 1–1 UNAM Pumas U21Liga MX U21 · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Puebla U21

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

UNAM Pumas U21

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Puebla U21

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

UNAM Pumas U21

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Puebla U21

5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Regular Season
Position 4
Points / played
23 / 14

Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 00:28 UTC.

UNAM Pumas U21

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Regular Season
Position 11
Points / played
19 / 14

Table source synced 30 Oct 2026 00:28 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 30 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1592907
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
6abaa58cd870cb40ffc46d1afc365c819743214ff92bbfb36502ca032835250c